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MCGHIE, TROY

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6NY11232
Internal id
81994887-93f5-41a7-9857-0c8493b3eeee
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-11. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation752,901
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$90,701
IncomePer-capita income$43,073
IncomeIn poverty13.3%
IncomeUnemployed6.1%
IncomeGini inequality index0.467
RaceWhite alone55.0%
RaceBlack alone7.3%
RaceAsian alone19.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino19.0%
RaceTwo or more races9.9%
OriginForeign-born33.2%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home53.6%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home11.7%
EducationHigh school or higher64.2%
EducationBachelor's or higher36.6%
EducationAdvanced degree14.4%
HouseholdFamily households70.5%
HouseholdAvg household size2.80
HouseholdNever married (15+)35.0%
HousingMedian home value$718,100
HousingMedian gross rent$1,769
HousingSingle-family detached24.4%
HousingBuilt before 19406.0%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)7.9%
HousingVacant units7.6%
ServiceVeterans (18+)2.5%
HealthWith a disability11.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.5%
CommuteDrove alone41.6%
CommutePublic transit30.3%
CommuteWorked from home13.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$79,597$72,919$6,677$0$71,347

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2025-09-10AMALGAMATED TRANSIT UNION - COPE24K$1,500

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee TROY FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

DonorEmployer / occupationCity, STGiftsTotal
FREEDMAN, STUARTSCHULTE ROTH & ZABEL Β· LAWYERBROOKLYN, NY1$500
GROUP, ANTONOWICZSELF EMPLOYED Β· ATTORNEYAVA, NY1$250
BENITEZ, STACYNOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYEDSTATEN ISLAND, NY1$100
SACKS, JOANNNOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYEDSTATEN ISLAND, NY1$50

Connected on the graph

Inbound (1)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2025-09-10AMALGAMATED TRANSIT UNION - COPEcontributed_to$1,500pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofTROY FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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