LASHER, MICAH CHARLES

D · house

FEC candidate id: H6NY12172
Internal id: de1e9a3f-00d2-440e-aa57-a24e2887f76f
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-12. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	719,940
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$147,775
Income	Per-capita income	$133,258
Income	In poverty	9.5%
Income	Unemployed	5.3%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.555
Race	White alone	67.0%
Race	Black alone	5.0%
Race	Asian alone	13.2%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	11.6%
Race	Two or more races	9.9%
Origin	Foreign-born	25.0%
Language	Speaks English only at home	72.1%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	8.4%
Education	High school or higher	86.8%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	80.3%
Education	Advanced degree	42.1%
Household	Family households	37.9%
Household	Avg household size	1.81
Household	Never married (15+)	46.0%
Housing	Median home value	$1,184,200
Housing	Median gross rent	$2,960
Housing	Single-family detached	1.2%
Housing	Built before 1940	6.1%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.6%
Housing	Vacant units	19.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	1.9%
Health	With a disability	9.1%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	94.7%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	3.5%
Commute	Drove alone	4.8%
Commute	Public transit	37.8%
Commute	Worked from home	29.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$2,071,992	$480,800	$1,591,192	$0	$2,063,492

Elections

2026 general house · NY-12 — running

Committees

LASHER FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$4,699,163	$0	22

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$583,333	Media Buy - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$583,333	Media Buy - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$63,719	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$74,964	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$66,531	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$365,000	Media Buy - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$10,000	Media Production Costs - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$583,333	Media Buy - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$3,129	Production Costs - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$66,531	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$583,335	Media Buy - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$55,999	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$583,335	Media Buy - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$69,919	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$79,825	Media Production Costs - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$55,999	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$63,719	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$27,575	Media Production Costs - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$74,964	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$583,327	Media Buy - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$63,719	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	support	$57,575	Media Production Costs - Estimate

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-31	MANHATTAN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (MANHATTAN…	24K	$3,500
2026-03-31	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	24E	$57,575
2026-03-31	NADLER FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2026-03-27	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	24E	$66,530
2026-03-25	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	24E	$583,333
2026-03-25	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	24E	$74,964
2026-03-23	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	24E	$63,719
2026-03-19	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	24E	$583,333
2026-03-18	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	24E	$3,128
2026-03-16	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	24E	$66,530
2026-03-16	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	24E	$79,825
2026-03-13	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	24E	$583,335
2026-03-11	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	24E	$69,918
2026-03-05	STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC	24E	$583,333
2025-12-15	ELKIND FOR NEW YORK	24K	$2,000
2025-11-21	THE JUNO FUND	24K	$1,000
2025-10-01	SOUTHERN GLAZER'S WINE AND SPIRITS PAC	24K	$1,500

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee LASHER FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
KIER, ISSAC	KG FUNDS · CEO	NEW YORK, NY	2	$7,000
EFFRON, CHERYL COHEN	TISHMAN SPEYER PROPERTIES · SENIOR ADVISOR	NEW YORK, NY	2	$6,000
KAUFMAN, IRENE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	NEW YORK, NY	1	$3,500
SAWABINI, JAMES P	BAIN & COMPANY · PARTNER	NEW YORK, NY	1	$3,500
CLEVELAND, MARY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	NEW YORK, NY	1	$2,500
BOURDEAUX, MARGARET	MGB · PHYSICIAN	BROOKLINE, MA	1	$1,000
MALITO, STEPHEN	DAVIDOFF HUTCHER & CITRON · ATTORNEY	GARDEN CITY, NY	1	$500
WINFIELD, CLAUDE L.	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	NEW YORK, NY	1	$300
KRIEGER, BETH	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	NEW YORK, NY	1	$300
FRANK, PETER	SCHULMAN LOBEL · CPA	NEW YORK, NY	1	$250
MANDELBAUM, EDWARD	DESIGNERS AND AGENTS INC · PRESIDENT	NEW YORK, NY	1	$250
PUGATCH, ERIC	SELF / COMPASS · REALTOR	AUSTIN, TX	1	$250
CHOE, CHINSOL	TWO SIGMA · PRODUCT MGR	NEW YORK, NY	1	$250
SMITH, LAURA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PITTSFORD, NY	1	$250
WAMBUA, MATHEW	MERCHANTS CAPITAL · AFFORDABLE HOUSING	ORANGEBURG, NY	1	$250
CAPALINO, JAMES F.	CAPALINO+COMPANY · BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT	NEW YORK, NY	1	$250

Connected on the graph

Inbound (39)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$57,575	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$66,531	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$365,000	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$583,333	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$3,129	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$66,531	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$583,335	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$55,999	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$583,335	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$69,919	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$79,825	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$55,999	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$63,719	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$27,575	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$74,964	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$583,327	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$63,719	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$583,333	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$583,333	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$63,719	fec_ies
—	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$74,964	fec_ies
2026-03-31	NADLER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-31	MANHATTAN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (MANHATTAN PAC)	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2026-03-31	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$57,575	pas2
2026-03-27	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$66,530	pas2
2026-03-25	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$583,333	pas2
2026-03-25	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$74,964	pas2
2026-03-23	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$63,719	pas2
2026-03-19	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$583,333	pas2
2026-03-18	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$3,128	pas2
2026-03-16	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$79,825	pas2
2026-03-16	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$66,530	pas2
2026-03-13	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$583,335	pas2
2026-03-11	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$69,918	pas2
2026-03-05	STAND FOR NEW YORK COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$583,333	pas2
2025-12-15	ELKIND FOR NEW YORK	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-11-21	THE JUNO FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-10-01	SOUTHERN GLAZER'S WINE AND SPIRITS PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	LASHER FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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