VARGAS, RUBEN D
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6NY15118- Internal id
479a0f0b-6878-4874-9628-b860041ff007- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-13. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 778,141 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $53,573 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,970 |
| Income | In poverty | 26.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 11.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.564 |
| Race | White alone | 19.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 26.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 51.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 17.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 35.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 45.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 43.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.9% |
| Household | Family households | 52.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.40 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 52.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $660,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,527 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 1.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 7.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 9.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 1.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 9.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 56.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 17.0% |
Elections
- 1996 general house Β· NY-15 β lost_general
- 1998 general house Β· NY-15 β lost_general
- 2000 general house Β· NY-15 β lost_general
- 2004 general house Β· NY-15 β lost_general
- 2010 general house Β· NY-15 β lost_general
- 2024 general house Β· NY-13 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.