WELLS, STEVEN M
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6NY22114- Internal id
58a196c6-0450-47cd-9f3a-8de26fba6a03- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-22. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 767,369 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $73,829 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,034 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.461 |
| Race | White alone | 77.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 8.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 88.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 16.1% |
| Household | Family households | 58.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.27 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 37.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $192,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,051 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2018 | $2,158 | $5,461 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2016 | $849,874 | $846,571 | $3,303 | $417,886 | $448,791 |
Elections
- 2016 general house Β· NY-22 β lost_general
Committees
- WELLS FOR SECURITY β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-02 | SALT CITY PAC | 24K | $-5,000 |
| 2022-08-24 | CLF | 24E | $27,599 |
| 2022-08-23 | CLF | 24E | $27,599 |
| 2022-08-22 | SALT CITY PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-08-22 | CLF | 24E | $5,599 |
| 2022-08-22 | CLF | 24E | $22,000 |
| 2022-08-22 | SALT CITY PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-08-20 | CLF | 24E | $22,000 |
| 2022-08-19 | CLF | 24E | $1,000 |
| 2022-08-19 | CLF | 24E | $22,766 |
| 2022-08-18 | CLF | 24E | $8,500 |
| 2022-08-18 | CLF | 24E | $4,833 |
| 2022-08-18 | CLF | 24E | $15,000 |
| 2022-08-17 | CLF | 24E | $5,599 |
| 2022-08-17 | CLF | 24E | $40,000 |
| 2022-08-17 | CLF | 24E | $8,000 |
| 2022-08-16 | CLF | 24E | $9,250 |
| 2022-08-16 | CLF | 24E | $257,431 |
| 2022-08-16 | CLF | 24E | $11,807 |
| 2022-08-10 | CLF | 24E | $11,807 |
| 2022-08-10 | CLF | 24E | $11,807 |
| 2022-08-08 | CLF | 24E | $11,807 |
| 2022-08-08 | CLF | 24E | $11,807 |
| 2022-08-05 | CLF | 24E | $296,800 |
| 2022-08-05 | CLF | 24E | $9,958 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (25)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-02 | SALT CITY PAC | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-24 | CLF | contributed_to | $27,599 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-23 | CLF | contributed_to | $27,599 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-22 | SALT CITY PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-22 | CLF | contributed_to | $5,599 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-22 | SALT CITY PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-22 | CLF | contributed_to | $22,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-20 | CLF | contributed_to | $22,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-19 | CLF | contributed_to | $22,766 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-19 | CLF | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-18 | CLF | contributed_to | $4,833 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-18 | CLF | contributed_to | $15,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-18 | CLF | contributed_to | $8,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-17 | CLF | contributed_to | $8,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-17 | CLF | contributed_to | $5,599 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-17 | CLF | contributed_to | $40,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-16 | CLF | contributed_to | $9,250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-16 | CLF | contributed_to | $11,807 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-16 | CLF | contributed_to | $257,431 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-10 | CLF | contributed_to | $11,807 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-10 | CLF | contributed_to | $11,807 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-08 | CLF | contributed_to | $11,807 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-08 | CLF | contributed_to | $11,807 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-05 | CLF | contributed_to | $296,800 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-05 | CLF | contributed_to | $9,958 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | WELLS FOR SECURITY | β | candidate_committees |