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GIES, AARON DR.

D · house

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FEC candidate id
H6NY23559
Internal id
f236d438-7a55-41b6-a3ea-1b056b930351
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-23. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation770,072
PeopleMedian age44
IncomeMedian household income$72,834
IncomePer-capita income$41,154
IncomeIn poverty12.5%
IncomeUnemployed5.2%
IncomeGini inequality index0.454
RaceWhite alone90.1%
RaceBlack alone2.2%
RaceAsian alone1.0%
RaceHispanic or Latino3.8%
RaceTwo or more races4.6%
OriginForeign-born2.8%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home94.7%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home1.9%
EducationHigh school or higher62.4%
EducationBachelor's or higher30.9%
EducationAdvanced degree13.8%
HouseholdFamily households62.6%
HouseholdAvg household size2.30
HouseholdNever married (15+)30.3%
HousingMedian home value$185,300
HousingMedian gross rent$929
HousingSingle-family detached70.3%
HousingBuilt before 19405.7%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.1%
HousingVacant units12.7%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.5%
HealthWith a disability15.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband89.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet8.3%
CommuteDrove alone77.0%
CommutePublic transit0.5%
CommuteWorked from home10.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$178,508$84,208$54,584$0$169,549

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΔ P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee AARON GIES FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

DonorEmployer / occupationCity, STGiftsTotal
THE ESTATE OF THOMAS AND MARY BUECHNERCORNING, NY1$2,570
HANSEN, TORSTENNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDHAMBURG, NY1$2,000
CAMPBELL, ANNNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDCORNING, NY1$1,070
RODGERS, THOMASNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDELMIRA, NY1$1,000
JONAS, HARRYNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDPAINTED POST, NY2$625
KAPLAN, ILEENSELF · ARTISTROCK STREAM, NY1$575
KUENTZ, MIKERETIRED · NONEELMIRA, NY1$550
GUSTIN, GORDONGUSTIN'S GOLDSMITH GALLERY · PROPRIETORCORNING, NY1$500
MCCALL, COREYLAWNY · PARALEGALELMIRA, NY1$500
WINTERS, JANENOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDELMIRA, NY1$500
WERNER, ANNIERETIRED · NONEELMIRA, NY1$500
BEUCHNER, DEBORAHGUTHRIE CORNING HOSPITAL · PHYSICIAN'S ASSISTANTCORNING, NY1$500
BOLAND, SUSANRETIRED · NONECORNING, NY1$500
VERKLEEREN, ERICAARNOT MEDICAL SERVICES · PHYSICIANHORSEHEADS, NY1$500
SYRETT, MATTHEWNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDPAINTED POST, NY1$500
RICHARDSON, LOUISENOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDPAINTED POST, NY2$475
SMITH, ALLEN CSELF · ARTISTELMIRA, NY1$450
GOLDEN, CHRISSELF · PHOTOGRAPHERCORNING, NY1$400
CASEY, LISASUNY GENESEO · GIS COORDINATORLOCKPORT, NY1$400
POTTER, LESLIERETIRED · NONEBIG FLATS, NY1$400
OLSON, EVANCORNING, INC · SOFTWARE ENGINEERELMIRA, NY2$360
YARROW, ALETASELF · ARTISTELMIRA, NY1$360
HUNTER, CHARLIECHRG, LLC · PROPRIETORELMIRA, NY1$350
GREENOUGH, LELANOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDCOLUMBIA CROSS ROADS, PA1$300
AZEMI, MICHAELA ROSESIGNATURE PROPERTIES · ATTORNEY/REALTORPAINTED POST, NY1$300

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
principal_candidate_ofAARON GIES FOR CONGRESScandidate_committees

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