MCDAIRMANT, DAVID JOHN
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H6NY24243- Internal id
a820233b-edac-4165-bd0c-b5cb2e5cec14- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-24. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 771,272 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,690 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,503 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.431 |
| Race | White alone | 89.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.2% |
| Household | Family households | 62.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.30 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $172,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $959 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.3% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· NY-24 β running
Committees
- CLOWN FOR CONGRESS β independent Β· type N
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | CLOWN FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |