MCKINSTRY, KATHY
OTHER Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6OH09180- Internal id
ee6f00c9-b917-484e-94ba-6780baf15764- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-09. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 781,702 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $66,739 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,128 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.470 |
| Race | White alone | 76.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.4% |
| Household | Family households | 60.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.30 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $174,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $920 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 71.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 80.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 7.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· OH-9 β running
Committees
- KATHY MCKINSTRY CAMPAIGN β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | KATHY MCKINSTRY CAMPAIGN | β | candidate_committees |