WATKINS, ERICA
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6OK01227- Internal id
1d80b15c-2ddb-4308-b6ac-0e725ff90bbf- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OK-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 809,593 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $70,845 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,098 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.473 |
| Race | White alone | 62.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 8.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 14.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 15.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 84.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 10.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.5% |
| Household | Family households | 63.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.50 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $231,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,112 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $12,913 | $12,473 | $440 | $0 | $11,917 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· OK-1 β running
Committees
- ERICA 4 OK 2026 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee ERICA 4 OK 2026.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ERICA 4 OK 2026 | β | candidate_committees |