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DOUGLAS, JUSTIN

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6PA10182
Internal id
251c8d5c-373e-4eed-ae0a-4169bd1869a9
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), PA-10. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation779,640
PeopleMedian age40
IncomeMedian household income$81,964
IncomePer-capita income$43,355
IncomeIn poverty10.0%
IncomeUnemployed4.3%
IncomeGini inequality index0.439
RaceWhite alone72.8%
RaceBlack alone10.6%
RaceAsian alone4.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino10.4%
RaceTwo or more races7.6%
OriginForeign-born7.8%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home87.6%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home6.0%
EducationHigh school or higher67.6%
EducationBachelor's or higher34.7%
EducationAdvanced degree13.3%
HouseholdFamily households63.4%
HouseholdAvg household size2.40
HouseholdNever married (15+)32.1%
HousingMedian home value$249,100
HousingMedian gross rent$1,217
HousingSingle-family detached56.0%
HousingBuilt before 19405.4%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.4%
HousingVacant units4.5%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.3%
HealthWith a disability13.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.7%
CommuteDrove alone71.5%
CommutePublic transit0.9%
CommuteWorked from home16.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$138,273$127,678$10,595$0$138,273

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2026$32,313$019

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”API PA VOTESsupport$1,400Phonebanking (Estimate)
β€”API PA VOTESsupport$1,500Phonebanking (Estimate)
β€”API PA VOTESsupport$1,200Phonebanking (Estimate)
β€”API PA VOTESsupport$850Phone Calls (Estimate)
β€”API PA VOTESsupport$560Phonebanking (Estimate)
β€”API PA VOTESsupport$380Phone Calls (Estimate)
β€”API PA VOTESsupport$50Phonebanking (Estimate)
β€”API PA VOTESsupport$50Canvassing (Estimate)
β€”API PA VOTESsupport$1,350Phonebanking (Estimate)
β€”API PA VOTESsupport$1,300Phone Calls (Estimate)
β€”API PA VOTESsupport$75Phonebanking (Estimate)
β€”API PA VOTESsupport$75Texting (Estimate)
β€”API PA VOTESsupport$850Texting (Estimate)
β€”API PA VOTESsupport$1,200Phone Calls (Estimate)
β€”API PA VOTESsupport$1,400Phonebanking (Estimate)
β€”API PA VOTESsupport$1,200Phone Calls (Estimate)
β€”API PA VOTESsupport$1,300Phone Calls (Estimate)
2026-05-12API PA VOTESsupport$10,931Printing
2026-03-16FREEDOM PAsupport$6,642Direct Mail

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2026-03-16FREEDOM PA24E$6,642

Connected on the graph

Inbound (20)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”API PA VOTESsupports_independently$1,400fec_ies
β€”API PA VOTESsupports_independently$1,500fec_ies
β€”API PA VOTESsupports_independently$1,200fec_ies
β€”API PA VOTESsupports_independently$850fec_ies
β€”API PA VOTESsupports_independently$560fec_ies
β€”API PA VOTESsupports_independently$380fec_ies
β€”API PA VOTESsupports_independently$50fec_ies
β€”API PA VOTESsupports_independently$50fec_ies
β€”API PA VOTESsupports_independently$1,350fec_ies
β€”API PA VOTESsupports_independently$1,300fec_ies
β€”API PA VOTESsupports_independently$75fec_ies
β€”API PA VOTESsupports_independently$75fec_ies
β€”API PA VOTESsupports_independently$850fec_ies
β€”API PA VOTESsupports_independently$1,200fec_ies
β€”API PA VOTESsupports_independently$1,400fec_ies
β€”API PA VOTESsupports_independently$1,200fec_ies
β€”API PA VOTESsupports_independently$1,300fec_ies
2026-05-12API PA VOTESsupports_independently$10,931fec_ies
2026-03-16FREEDOM PAcontributed_to$6,642pas2
2026-03-16FREEDOM PAsupports_independently$6,642fec_ies

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofJUSTIN DOUGLAS FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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