MARSICANO, MICHAEL

R · house

FEC candidate id: H6PA11073
Internal id: 54346abe-88ff-4025-81c2-5dde77947916
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), PA-08. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	768,757
People	Median age	43
Income	Median household income	$67,979
Income	Per-capita income	$37,215
Income	In poverty	13.9%
Income	Unemployed	6.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.457
Race	White alone	74.9%
Race	Black alone	6.7%
Race	Asian alone	2.0%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	15.1%
Race	Two or more races	9.9%
Origin	Foreign-born	9.1%
Language	Speaks English only at home	85.6%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	9.8%
Education	High school or higher	63.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	27.4%
Education	Advanced degree	10.8%
Household	Family households	62.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.42
Household	Never married (15+)	34.8%
Housing	Median home value	$213,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,063
Housing	Single-family detached	71.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	6.8%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.6%
Housing	Vacant units	18.7%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.6%
Health	With a disability	16.1%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	88.9%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	8.7%
Commute	Drove alone	74.1%
Commute	Public transit	1.2%
Commute	Worked from home	11.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$0	$0	$180	$523,200	$0
2022	$748,925	$748,745	$180	$523,200	$2,825
2020	$0	$0	$8,741	$418	$0
2018	$0	$0	$8,741	$100,418	$0
2016	$422,489	$413,748	$8,741	$100,418	$22,200

Elections

2016 general house · PA-11 — lost_general
2022 general house · PA-8 — lost_general

Committees

COMMITTEE FOR MIKE MARSICANO — principal · type H
COMMITTEE TO ELECT MARSICANO FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$0	$41,470	2

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-05-13	AMERICAN VALUES FIRST	oppose	$23,600	Digital Advertising
2022-04-29	AMERICAN VALUES FIRST	oppose	$17,870	Federal IE - Direct Mail

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-05-13	AMERICAN VALUES FIRST	24A	$23,600
2022-04-29	AMERICAN VALUES FIRST	24A	$17,870

Connected on the graph

Inbound (4)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-05-13	AMERICAN VALUES FIRST	opposes_independently	$23,600	fec_ies
2022-05-13	AMERICAN VALUES FIRST	contributed_to	$23,600	pas2
2022-04-29	AMERICAN VALUES FIRST	opposes_independently	$17,870	fec_ies
2022-04-29	AMERICAN VALUES FIRST	contributed_to	$17,870	pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	COMMITTEE TO ELECT MARSICANO FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	COMMITTEE FOR MIKE MARSICANO	—		candidate_committees

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