THUNE, JOHN R

R · house

FEC candidate id: H6SD00085
Internal id: 1d87f238-07d0-4aa5-a9c1-6610e9a10cd7
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2000	$1,221,843	$953,757	$482,917	$0	$901,324
1998	$822,105	$621,024	$214,831	$0	$574,761
1996	$786,915	$773,125	$13,750	$6,100	$580,483

Elections

No elections on file.

Committees

JOHN THUNE FOR SOUTH DAKOTA — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2025-04-24	MINN-DAK FARMERS COOPERATIVE SUGAR PAC (MDSPAC)	24K	$5,000
2022-08-09	AMERICAN BAKERS ASSOCIATION AMERICAN BAKERS POL…	24K	$2,500
2022-05-18	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF CROP INSURERS PAC	24K	$1,500
2022-05-02	NATIONAL SORGHUM PRODUCERS POLITICAL ACTION COM…	24K	$2,000
2022-02-25	MINN-DAK FARMERS COOPERATIVE SUGAR PAC (MDSPAC)	24K	$2,500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (5)

date	from	type	amount	source
2025-04-24	MINN-DAK FARMERS COOPERATIVE SUGAR PAC (MDSPAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-09	AMERICAN BAKERS ASSOCIATION AMERICAN BAKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-05-18	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF CROP INSURERS PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-05-02	NATIONAL SORGHUM PRODUCERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-02-25	MINN-DAK FARMERS COOPERATIVE SUGAR PAC (MDSPAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	JOHN THUNE FOR SOUTH DAKOTA	—		candidate_committees

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