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CRABTREE, CASEY

R · house

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FEC candidate id
H6SD01117
Internal id
085750f4-eee7-4ab9-ae31-7ab214aa35b8
Status
open seat

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$253,878$167,318$86,560$0$244,289

Elections

No elections on file.

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΔ P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2025-12-23GEVO, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (GEVO PAC)24K$1,000
2025-10-30AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF NURSE ANESTHETISTS SEPA…24K$5,000
2025-10-10AMERICAN PUBLIC POWER ASSOCIATION, PUBLIC OWNER…24K$5,000
2025-09-11AMERICAN CARBON ALLIANCE PAC24K$1,000
2025-08-11AMERICAN OPTOMETRIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTIO…24K$5,000
2025-08-11AMERICAN OPTOMETRIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTIO…24K$2,500

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee CRABTREE FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

DonorEmployer / occupationCity, STGiftsTotal
PROUTY, BRIAN DR.INFINITY SEDATION · DENTISTWATERTOWN, SD1$3,500
HARMS, JASONHARMS OIL · ENGINEERSIOUX FALLS, SD1$1,041
SEELEY, DARINSTATE OF SOUTH DAKOTA · COMMISSIONERWENTWORTH, SD1$1,041
FENSKE, MATTHEW AMILLBORN SEEDS · CEOBRUCE, SD1$1,000
RANKIN, SARASOUTH DAKOTA MUNICIPAL LEAGUE · ADVOCACYPIERRE, SD1$104

Connected on the graph

Inbound (6)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2025-12-23GEVO, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (GEVO PAC)contributed_to$1,000pas2
2025-10-30AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF NURSE ANESTHETISTS SEPARATE SEGREGATED FUND (CRNA-PAC)contributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-10-10AMERICAN PUBLIC POWER ASSOCIATION, PUBLIC OWNERSHIP OF ELECTRIC RESOURCES PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-09-11AMERICAN CARBON ALLIANCE PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2025-08-11AMERICAN OPTOMETRIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-08-11AMERICAN OPTOMETRIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$2,500pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
principal_candidate_ofCRABTREE FOR CONGRESScandidate_committees

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