POGUE, OLIVER FREEMAN
I Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6TN02154- Internal id
07ea2935-7876-4968-8d4a-fff7c61c702c- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TN-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 792,639 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,572 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,271 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.470 |
| Race | White alone | 84.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 93.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 34.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.5% |
| Household | Family households | 63.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.41 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $301,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,174 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.3% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· TN-2 β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.