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BALLIN, CRAIG

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6TN06247
Internal id
cda13c00-f006-4165-8922-94a002082743
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TN-06. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation788,325
PeopleMedian age40
IncomeMedian household income$69,359
IncomePer-capita income$37,784
IncomeIn poverty13.8%
IncomeUnemployed4.0%
IncomeGini inequality index0.451
RaceWhite alone79.4%
RaceBlack alone8.9%
RaceAsian alone1.2%
RaceHispanic or Latino8.0%
RaceTwo or more races7.2%
OriginForeign-born5.6%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home92.1%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home5.6%
EducationHigh school or higher61.9%
EducationBachelor's or higher28.8%
EducationAdvanced degree10.1%
HouseholdFamily households63.1%
HouseholdAvg household size2.39
HouseholdNever married (15+)29.4%
HousingMedian home value$318,100
HousingMedian gross rent$1,244
HousingSingle-family detached67.8%
HousingBuilt before 19403.4%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.5%
HousingVacant units8.9%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.0%
HealthWith a disability14.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband89.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet8.4%
CommuteDrove alone75.1%
CommutePublic transit0.5%
CommuteWorked from home13.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$6,210$6,210$0$518$1,210

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofBALLIN FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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