THORP, JONATHAN
I Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6TN07153- Internal id
64240913-103b-441e-94f3-b078c27bde63- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TN-07. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 791,449 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $75,800 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,953 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.464 |
| Race | White alone | 71.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 15.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 34.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.9% |
| Household | Family households | 62.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.39 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $328,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,406 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 64.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $20,099 | $26,337 | $-6,238 | $58,772 | $17,012 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· TN-7 β running
Committees
- FRIENDS OF JON THORP β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 10.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $28,157 | $0 | 1 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | YOUR COMMUNITY PAC | support | $28,157 | Direct Mail Services (Estimate) |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| β | YOUR COMMUNITY PAC | 24A | $32,321 |
| 2025-12-01 | YOUR COMMUNITY PAC | 24E | $28,156 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee FRIENDS OF JON THORP.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PATRICK, MARY BETH | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | FORT COLLINS, CO | 1 | $500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (3)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | YOUR COMMUNITY PAC | contributed_to | $32,321 | pas2 | |
| β | YOUR COMMUNITY PAC | supports_independently | $28,157 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-12-01 | YOUR COMMUNITY PAC | contributed_to | $28,156 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF JON THORP | β | candidate_committees |