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CONNER, MICHAEL K

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6TX01378
Internal id
850deaff-afd6-4cc3-a3f0-7eb017a0d520
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-01. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation779,066
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$65,184
IncomePer-capita income$33,203
IncomeIn poverty14.7%
IncomeUnemployed4.5%
IncomeGini inequality index0.462
RaceWhite alone64.9%
RaceBlack alone17.0%
RaceAsian alone1.1%
RaceHispanic or Latino17.7%
RaceTwo or more races12.1%
OriginForeign-born7.3%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home85.2%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home13.1%
EducationHigh school or higher53.6%
EducationBachelor's or higher22.9%
EducationAdvanced degree7.6%
HouseholdFamily households68.5%
HouseholdAvg household size2.62
HouseholdNever married (15+)30.1%
HousingMedian home value$189,100
HousingMedian gross rent$1,067
HousingSingle-family detached68.3%
HousingBuilt before 19404.2%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.7%
HousingVacant units15.3%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.2%
HealthWith a disability15.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband86.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet11.3%
CommuteDrove alone79.6%
CommutePublic transit0.2%
CommuteWorked from home7.6%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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