CAIN, BRISCOE ROWELL III
R · house
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- FEC candidate id
H6TX09124- Internal id
904cdfc4-fb58-4827-bcdb-6d0c125c789a- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-09. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 776,446 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $65,402 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $33,936 |
| Income | In poverty | 18.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 7.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.473 |
| Race | White alone | 18.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 35.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 9.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 38.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 20.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 29.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 54.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 33.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.3% |
| Household | Family households | 66.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.71 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 41.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $248,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,310 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 56.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 8.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $583,248 | $438,929 | $144,318 | $100,000 | $372,710 |
Elections
- 2026 general house · TX-9 — running
Committees
- BRISCOE CAIN FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $31,769 | $530,358 | 41 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | oppose | $20,080 | Mailers |
| 2026-05-12 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $184 | MAIL PRODUCTION (FROM ADVANCE LINE 21) |
| 2026-05-08 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | oppose | $20,080 | Mailers |
| 2026-05-08 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $10,829 | MAIL PRODUCTION/POSTAGE |
| 2026-05-06 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | oppose | $20,080 | Mailers |
| 2026-05-06 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $184 | MAIL PRODUCTION (FROM ADVANCE LINE 21) |
| 2026-05-01 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $10,829 | MAIL PRODUCTION/POSTAGE |
| 2026-04-30 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $184 | MAIL PRODUCTION (FROM ADVANCE LINE 21) |
| 2026-04-27 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $10,829 | MAIL PRODUCTION/POSTAGE |
| 2026-04-24 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $184 | MAIL PRODUCTION (FROM ADVANCE LINE 21) |
| 2026-04-21 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $10,829 | MAIL PRODUCTION/POSTAGE |
| 2026-02-25 | CITIZENS FOR AMERICAN STRENGTH | support | $29,862 | Direct Mail |
| 2026-02-19 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $-34,965 | TV AD PLACEMENT REPORTED 1/28/26 OPPOSING CAIN; SWITCHED TO… |
| 2026-02-17 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $271 | MAIL PRODUCTION (FROM ADVANCE LINE 21) |
| 2026-02-13 | CITIZENS FOR AMERICAN STRENGTH | support | $1,907 | Direct Mail |
| 2026-02-13 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $24,140 | MAIL PRODUCTION/POSTAGE |
| 2026-02-13 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $271 | MAIL PRODUCTION (FROM ADVANCE LINE 21) |
| 2026-02-10 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $24,140 | MAIL PRODUCTION/POSTAGE |
| 2026-02-10 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $271 | MAIL PRODUCTION (FROM ADVANCE LINE 21) |
| 2026-02-06 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $393 | MAIL PRODUCTION (FROM ADVANCE LINE 21) |
| 2026-02-05 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $24,140 | MAIL PRODUCTION/POSTAGE |
| 2026-02-03 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $24,140 | MAIL PRODUCTION/POSTAGE |
| 2026-02-03 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $393 | MAIL PRODUCTION (FROM ADVANCE LINE 21) |
| 2026-02-02 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $24,140 | MAIL PRODUCTION/POSTAGE |
| 2026-01-30 | WIN IT BACK PAC | oppose | $393 | MAIL PRODUCTION (FROM ADVANCE LINE 21) |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee BRISCOE CAIN FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCHOOLCRAFT, ALAN | TEXAS HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES · STATE REPRESENTATIVE | MCQUEENEY, TX | 1 | $2,800 |
| BUMGARNER, CAROLINE MELINDA | SELF · PSYCHOLOGIST | FLOWER MOUND, TX | 1 | $1,000 |
| MARTIN, ELIZABETH | SELF · ATTORNEY RANCHER | BOERNE, TX | 1 | $500 |
| FUQUA, MATTHEW | BLAZER BUILDING · CONSTRUCTION | HOUSTON, TX | 1 | $500 |
| KELLEY, NATHAN | BLAZER BUILDING · CFO | HOUSTON, TX | 1 | $500 |
| KOCH, RYAN | STEAMSOS · CEO | DAYTON, TX | 1 | $300 |
| YARBROUGH, JACE R | SELF EMPLOYED · ATTORNEY | SANGER, TX | 1 | $250 |
| CAPETILLO, BRANDON | AIRGAS USA LLC · QUALITY MANAGER | BAYTOWN, TX | 1 | $250 |
| COFFEY, DEBRA | SMART START LLC · CHIEF GA EMERITUS | LAMPASAS, TX | 1 | $250 |
| ANDERSON, TUCKER | BLACKBRIDGE COUNSEL · ATTORNEY AND COUNSELOR AT LAW | DALLAS, TX | 1 | $250 |
| WALL, HENRY | MCCANN SERVICEDS · ENGINEER | DEER PARK, TX | 1 | $50 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (88)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | opposes_independently | $20,080 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-12 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $184 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-08 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | opposes_independently | $20,080 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-08 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $10,829 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-06 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $184 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-06 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | opposes_independently | $20,080 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-01 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $10,829 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-30 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $184 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-27 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $10,829 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-24 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $184 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-21 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $10,829 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-03-04 | LIBERTY AND ORDER COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,309 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-02 | LIBERTY AND ORDER COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,861 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-25 | CITIZENS FOR AMERICAN STRENGTH | contributed_to | $29,862 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-25 | CITIZENS FOR AMERICAN STRENGTH | supports_independently | $29,862 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-20 | LIBERTY AND ORDER COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $8,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-20 | LIBERTY AND ORDER COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $8,728 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-19 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $-34,965 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-19 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $-34,965 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-17 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $271 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-17 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $271 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-15 | AMERICAN OPTOMETRIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-13 | CITIZENS FOR AMERICAN STRENGTH | supports_independently | $1,907 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-13 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $271 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-13 | CITIZENS FOR AMERICAN STRENGTH | contributed_to | $1,906 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-13 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $24,140 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-13 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $271 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-13 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $24,139 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-10 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $24,140 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-10 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $24,139 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-10 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $271 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-10 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $271 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-09 | CHARTER SCHOOLS ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-06 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $392 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-06 | LIBERTY AND ORDER COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $48,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-06 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $393 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-06 | LIBERTY AND ORDER COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $26,600 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-05 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $24,140 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-05 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $24,139 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-03 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $24,139 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-03 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $24,140 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-03 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $393 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-03 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $392 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-02 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $24,140 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-02 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $24,139 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-30 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $392 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-30 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $393 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-29 | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION FOR GUN RIGHTS INC PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-28 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $341 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-28 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $1,286 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-28 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $1,910 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-28 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $65,608 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-28 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $1,800 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-28 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $341 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-28 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $844 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-28 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $843 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-28 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $5,600 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-28 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $65,608 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-28 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $1,286 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-28 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $1,800 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-28 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $5,600 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-28 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $65,608 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-28 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $5,600 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-28 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $1,910 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-28 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $1,286 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-28 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $1,800 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-27 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $27,010 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-27 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $24,140 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-27 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $27,011 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-27 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $24,139 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-27 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $513 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-26 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $9,388 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-26 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $101,981 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-26 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $101,982 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-01-26 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $9,388 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-22 | WIN IT BACK PAC | contributed_to | $24,139 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-22 | WIN IT BACK PAC | opposes_independently | $24,140 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-12-23 | WEBER FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-23 | CAMPAIGN FOR WORKING FAMILIES | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-18 | AMERICAN CHEMISTRY COUNCIL PAC | contributed_to | $3,690 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-15 | TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN CATTLE RAISERS ASSOCIATION PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-12 | COVESTROPAC A POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF COVESTRO LLC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-12 | AMERICAN CHEMISTRY COUNCIL PAC | contributed_to | $3,690 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-07 | CRH AMERICAS, INC. PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-10-20 | MARCHANT GOOD GOVERNMENT FUND | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-22 | ACADIAN AMBULANCE SERVICE EMPLOYEE FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE, INC. | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-08-25 | PETE SESSIONS FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-07-10 | BLESSEY MARINE SERVICE, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | BRISCOE CAIN FOR CONGRESS | — | candidate_committees |