TESSMER, HEATHER ANN
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6TX21434- Internal id
f80b1bd6-0e73-4465-820a-e16f1436f0b2- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-21. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 810,199 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $95,646 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $53,163 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.467 |
| Race | White alone | 66.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 31.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 21.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 80.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 15.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 65.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 47.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 18.1% |
| Household | Family households | 66.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.47 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $411,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,477 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.9% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· TX-21 Β· 2026-11-03 β running
Committees
- HEATHER TESSMER FOR 21ST US CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | HEATHER TESSMER FOR 21ST US CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT | β | candidate_committees |