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BINKLEY, RYAN

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6TX32159
Internal id
c65737f9-df85-409e-850d-501b7a2f72cb
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-32. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation767,505
PeopleMedian age33
IncomeMedian household income$72,034
IncomePer-capita income$43,812
IncomeIn poverty14.1%
IncomeUnemployed4.6%
IncomeGini inequality index0.483
RaceWhite alone37.5%
RaceBlack alone20.8%
RaceAsian alone8.4%
RaceHispanic or Latino36.4%
RaceTwo or more races22.6%
OriginForeign-born26.8%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home57.8%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home29.4%
EducationHigh school or higher60.4%
EducationBachelor's or higher40.7%
EducationAdvanced degree15.4%
HouseholdFamily households54.0%
HouseholdAvg household size2.38
HouseholdNever married (15+)42.6%
HousingMedian home value$347,700
HousingMedian gross rent$1,511
HousingSingle-family detached37.3%
HousingBuilt before 19402.0%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)6.1%
HousingVacant units8.8%
ServiceVeterans (18+)3.8%
HealthWith a disability9.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.3%
CommuteDrove alone67.2%
CommutePublic transit1.9%
CommuteWorked from home17.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$3,216,173$3,064,187$151,985$2,754,000$453,173

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2026$173,916$012

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2026-03-02TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupport$3,864text messages
2026-02-27TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupport$4,596text messgaes
2026-02-19TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupport$40,000digital advertising
2026-02-17TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupport$2,125text messages
2026-02-16TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupport$30,350digital advertising
2026-02-12TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupport$2,125text message
2026-02-05TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupport$2,654text messages
2026-01-29TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupport$27,214mailer
2026-01-29TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupport$2,654text messages
2026-01-27TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupport$28,466mailer
2026-01-27TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupport$2,654Text messages
2026-01-20TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupport$27,214mailer

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2026-03-02TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PAC24E$3,864
2026-02-27TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PAC24E$4,596
2026-02-19TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PAC24E$40,000
2026-02-17TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PAC24E$2,125
2026-02-16TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PAC24E$30,350
2026-02-12TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PAC24E$2,125
2026-02-05TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PAC24E$2,653
2026-01-29TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PAC24E$27,213
2026-01-29TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PAC24E$2,653
2026-01-27TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PAC24E$28,465
2026-01-27TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PAC24E$2,653
2026-01-20TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PAC24E$27,213
2026-01-07REPUBLICAN MAINSTREET PARTNERSHIP PAC24K$5,000
2025-12-2931 DAYS PAC24K$2,500
2025-09-29DON BACON FOR CONGRESS24K$1,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee RYAN BINKLEY FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

DonorEmployer / occupationCity, STGiftsTotal
MILLIKEN, TABATHAPRO EXTERIORS LLC Β· OWNERALLEN, TX1$1,041
GILBERT, AUSTINRETIRED Β· RETIREDFLORENCE, SC1$500
BRAMHALL, JAMESRETIRED Β· RETIREDDONNA, TX1$250
FRITCHER, SAMMY RRETIRED Β· RETIREDPLANO, TX2$200
ARNOTT, DAVIDDALLAS BAPTIST UNIVERSITY Β· PROFESSORMIDLOTHIAN, TX1$104
YANCEY, JO ANNRETIRED Β· RETIREDCONROE, TX2$80

Connected on the graph

Inbound (27)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2026-03-02TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupports_independently$3,864fec_ies
2026-03-02TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$3,864pas2
2026-02-27TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupports_independently$4,596fec_ies
2026-02-27TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$4,596pas2
2026-02-19TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupports_independently$40,000fec_ies
2026-02-19TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$40,000pas2
2026-02-17TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$2,125pas2
2026-02-17TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupports_independently$2,125fec_ies
2026-02-16TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupports_independently$30,350fec_ies
2026-02-16TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$30,350pas2
2026-02-12TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$2,125pas2
2026-02-12TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupports_independently$2,125fec_ies
2026-02-05TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupports_independently$2,654fec_ies
2026-02-05TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$2,653pas2
2026-01-29TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$27,213pas2
2026-01-29TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupports_independently$2,654fec_ies
2026-01-29TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupports_independently$27,214fec_ies
2026-01-29TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$2,653pas2
2026-01-27TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupports_independently$28,466fec_ies
2026-01-27TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$28,465pas2
2026-01-27TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$2,653pas2
2026-01-27TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupports_independently$2,654fec_ies
2026-01-20TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACsupports_independently$27,214fec_ies
2026-01-20TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$27,213pas2
2026-01-07REPUBLICAN MAINSTREET PARTNERSHIP PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-12-2931 DAYS PACcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2025-09-29DON BACON FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$1,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofRYAN BINKLEY FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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