HELMER, DAN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6VA07247- Internal id
6ec64d6c-90bb-4797-9ff7-5d0be8b2cd80- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-07. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 806,870 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $113,817 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $47,986 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.399 |
| Race | White alone | 52.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 20.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 17.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 16.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 77.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 13.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 37.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.1% |
| Household | Family households | 73.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.87 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $438,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,813 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 12.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $642,314 | $69,112 | $573,202 | $46,110 | $601,814 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· VA-7 β running
Committees
- HELMER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | SERVE AMERICA PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2026-02-19 | VOTEVETS | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2026-02-19 | WITH HONOR PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2026-02-18 | SD PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2026-02-18 | VINDMAN FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2026-02-18 | CALL TO SERVE | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2026-02-18 | SD PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2025-09-11 | SECURE PROGRESS | 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (8)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | SERVE AMERICA PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-19 | VOTEVETS | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-19 | WITH HONOR PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-18 | VINDMAN FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-18 | SD PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-18 | CALL TO SERVE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-18 | SD PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-11 | SECURE PROGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | HELMER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |