JACKSON, MICHAEL PAUL
I Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6VA09151- Internal id
29a8edb0-e7fd-4d26-bdcb-e0f34afbc8ea- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-09. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 780,117 |
| People | Median age | 44 |
| Income | Median household income | $58,380 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,480 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.480 |
| Race | White alone | 87.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 3.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 95.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 23.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.5% |
| Household | Family households | 62.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.34 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $180,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $860 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 17.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 19.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 83.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 13.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 78.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.7% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· VA-9 β running
Committees
- MICHAEL PAUL JACKSON FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MICHAEL PAUL JACKSON FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |