BAIRD, BRIAN N.
D Β· house Β· bioguide B001229
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- FEC candidate id
H6WA03135- Internal id
6ea621c2-bafd-4867-8912-54e3694b5ba0- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WA-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 788,069 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $90,428 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $45,092 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.434 |
| Race | White alone | 77.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 11.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 55.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 28.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.5% |
| Household | Family households | 66.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.58 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $474,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,605 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 6.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $20 | $28,807 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2018 | $56 | $54,694 | $28,787 | $0 | $0 |
| 2016 | $2,223 | $198,006 | $83,425 | $0 | $0 |
| 2014 | $692 | $61,913 | $279,208 | $0 | $0 |
| 2012 | $2,250 | $132,326 | $340,429 | $0 | $0 |
| 2010 | $147,942 | $275,785 | $470,505 | $0 | $43,895 |
| 2008 | $741,627 | $926,293 | $598,348 | $0 | $286,839 |
| 2006 | $832,167 | $735,560 | $783,014 | $0 | $410,922 |
| 2004 | $965,402 | $850,020 | $686,408 | $0 | $623,700 |
| 2002 | $1,268,237 | $781,956 | $571,025 | $0 | $770,823 |
| 2000 | $1,382,509 | $1,368,592 | $84,746 | $0 | $832,084 |
| 1998 | $1,671,658 | $1,602,437 | $70,827 | $0 | $1,138,040 |
| 1996 | $719,798 | $718,322 | $1,605 | $0 | $408,057 |
Elections
- 1996 general house Β· WA-3 β won
- 1998 general house Β· WA-3 β won
- 2000 general house Β· WA-3 β won
- 2002 general house Β· WA-3 β won
- 2004 general house Β· WA-3 β won
- 2006 general house Β· WA-3 β won
- 2008 general house Β· WA-3 β won
- 2010 general house Β· WA-3 β lost_general
Committees
- BAIRD FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (13)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | affiliated_with | Phi Beta Kappa Society | β | wikidata | |
| β | affiliated_with | Issue One | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | University of Utah | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | University of Wyoming | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | University of Wyoming | β | wikidata | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | BAIRD FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| 2009-01-06 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2007-01-04 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2005-01-04 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2003-01-07 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2001-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1999-01-06 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1986-01-01 | employed_by | Pacific Lutheran University | β | wikidata |