MCKINNEY, AMANDA

R · house

FEC candidate id: H6WA04216
Internal id: 727e7afa-235b-4a3c-89d2-cfb65c6fa063
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WA-04. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	781,735
People	Median age	35
Income	Median household income	$77,137
Income	Per-capita income	$35,454
Income	In poverty	14.0%
Income	Unemployed	6.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.440
Race	White alone	56.4%
Race	Black alone	1.2%
Race	Asian alone	1.7%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	41.2%
Race	Two or more races	21.2%
Origin	Foreign-born	15.9%
Language	Speaks English only at home	65.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	31.2%
Education	High school or higher	51.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	24.0%
Education	Advanced degree	8.9%
Household	Family households	70.4%
Household	Avg household size	2.79
Household	Never married (15+)	33.6%
Housing	Median home value	$356,600
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,168
Housing	Single-family detached	65.6%
Housing	Built before 1940	6.2%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	5.5%
Housing	Vacant units	7.9%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.6%
Health	With a disability	14.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	90.7%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.7%
Commute	Drove alone	74.7%
Commute	Public transit	0.9%
Commute	Worked from home	10.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$523,892	$72,794	$451,098	$120,678	$384,862

Elections

2026 general house · WA-4 — running

Committees

AMANDA MCKINNEY FOR WASHINGTON — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$423,480	$0	12

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2026-05-12	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	support	$11,840	MEDIA
2026-04-21	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	support	$4,000	MEDIA
2026-04-15	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	support	$11,840	MEDIA
2026-03-17	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	support	$11,840	MEDIA
2026-03-17	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	support	$2,000	MEDIA
2026-02-05	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	support	$8,583	MEDIA
2026-01-20	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	support	$29,085	Direct Mail Production
2026-01-20	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	support	$29,085	Direct Mail Production
2026-01-20	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	support	$8,500	MEDIA
2026-01-20	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	support	$28,095	Direct Mail Production
2026-01-05	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	support	$270,112	MEDIA
2026-01-05	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	support	$8,500	MEDIA

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-31	BIG IDEAS CREATE EXCELLENCE PAC	24K	$2,000
2026-03-31	BUCKEYE LIBERTY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$5,000
2026-03-31	JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2026-03-30	EMMER FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2026-03-17	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	24E	$2,000
2026-03-17	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	24E	$11,840
2026-03-10	JOE MITCHELL FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2026-03-09	EMMER FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2026-02-24	MR. SOUTHERN MISSOURIAN IN THE HOUSE PAC	24K	$5,000
2026-02-17	VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…	24K	$5,000
2026-02-09	ATI INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ATI-PAC)	24K	$2,000
2026-02-09	BUCKEYE LIBERTY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$5,000
2026-02-09	JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2026-02-05	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	24E	$8,583
2026-02-02	RAPTOR PAC	24K	$5,000
2026-02-02	WFW ACTION FUND INC	24K	$5,000
2026-02-02	THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$5,000
2026-01-20	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	24E	$29,085
2026-01-20	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	24E	$8,500
2026-01-20	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	24E	$29,085
2026-01-16	AMERICAN REVIVAL PAC	24K	$5,000
2026-01-16	AMERICAN REVIVAL PAC	24K	$5,000
2026-01-05	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	24E	$270,112
2026-01-05	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	24E	$8,500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (36)

date	from	type	amount	source
2026-05-12	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	supports_independently	$11,840	fec_ies
2026-04-21	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	supports_independently	$4,000	fec_ies
2026-04-15	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	supports_independently	$11,840	fec_ies
2026-03-31	BUCKEYE LIBERTY PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-31	BIG IDEAS CREATE EXCELLENCE PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-31	JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-30	EMMER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-17	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	contributed_to	$11,840	pas2
2026-03-17	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	supports_independently	$2,000	fec_ies
2026-03-17	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-17	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	supports_independently	$11,840	fec_ies
2026-03-10	JOE MITCHELL FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-09	EMMER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-02-24	MR. SOUTHERN MISSOURIAN IN THE HOUSE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-17	VALUE IN ELECTING WOMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-09	BUCKEYE LIBERTY PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-09	ATI INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ATI-PAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-02-09	JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-02-05	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	supports_independently	$8,583	fec_ies
2026-02-05	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	contributed_to	$8,583	pas2
2026-02-02	RAPTOR PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-02	WFW ACTION FUND INC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-02	THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-01-20	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	supports_independently	$29,085	fec_ies
2026-01-20	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	supports_independently	$8,500	fec_ies
2026-01-20	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	contributed_to	$8,500	pas2
2026-01-20	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	contributed_to	$29,085	pas2
2026-01-20	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	contributed_to	$29,085	pas2
2026-01-20	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	supports_independently	$29,085	fec_ies
2026-01-20	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	supports_independently	$28,095	fec_ies
2026-01-16	AMERICAN REVIVAL PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-01-16	AMERICAN REVIVAL PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-01-05	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	contributed_to	$270,112	pas2
2026-01-05	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	supports_independently	$8,500	fec_ies
2026-01-05	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	contributed_to	$8,500	pas2
2026-01-05	WASHINGTON RISING INC.	supports_independently	$270,112	fec_ies

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	AMANDA MCKINNEY FOR WASHINGTON	—		candidate_committees

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