GRAY, CHUCK

R · house

FEC candidate id: H6WY00217
Internal id: 52ef8a8e-9528-48eb-8fcf-e9767479382d
Status: open seat

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$921,132	$127,374	$793,758	$737,000	$180,726

Elections

No elections on file.

Committees

CITIZENS FOR CHUCK GRAY — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-30	CONTINENTAL RESOURCES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION CO…	24K	$2,500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (1)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2026-03-30	CONTINENTAL RESOURCES COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	CITIZENS FOR CHUCK GRAY	—		candidate_committees

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