SWING, GARY
G Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8AZ08224- Internal id
fedf6bca-b4c5-490f-a090-597c500b9c09- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-07. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 808,224 |
| People | Median age | 34 |
| Income | Median household income | $59,811 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $28,647 |
| Income | In poverty | 19.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.447 |
| Race | White alone | 39.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 60.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 34.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 19.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 52.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 43.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 49.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 22.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.5% |
| Household | Family households | 64.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.67 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 41.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $243,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,123 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 59.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 7.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.8% |
Elections
- 2018 general house Β· AZ-7 β running
- 2018 general house Β· AZ-8 β lost_general
- 2025 general house Β· AZ-7 β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 10.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.