SCOTT, JOSHUA
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H8CA32088- Internal id
a78c2dde-252f-43c9-a0e0-c47280b9ac27- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-32. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 762,403 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $111,824 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $69,284 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 7.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.531 |
| Race | White alone | 53.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 12.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 26.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 13.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 30.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 58.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 19.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 67.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 52.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 21.0% |
| Household | Family households | 61.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.53 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $1,086,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,334 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 51.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 6.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 61.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 25.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $0 | $10,155 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2020 | $23,624 | $14,248 | $10,155 | $5,100 | $18,624 |
| 2018 | $6,274 | $5,445 | $829 | $0 | $6,174 |
Elections
Committees
- JOSHUA SCOTT FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-19 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24A | $8 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-19 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $8 | 24A | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-05-19 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOSHUA SCOTT FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |