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ARMSTRONG, WILLIAM L III

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H8CO06153
Internal id
649c2a56-4253-4f58-b594-56b142d00d0b
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CO-06. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation728,750
PeopleMedian age38
IncomeMedian household income$100,168
IncomePer-capita income$53,333
IncomeIn poverty9.0%
IncomeUnemployed5.1%
IncomeGini inequality index0.456
RaceWhite alone58.9%
RaceBlack alone10.4%
RaceAsian alone5.7%
RaceHispanic or Latino23.2%
RaceTwo or more races15.3%
OriginForeign-born16.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home75.7%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home14.3%
EducationHigh school or higher64.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher45.4%
EducationAdvanced degree17.4%
HouseholdFamily households63.9%
HouseholdAvg household size2.55
HouseholdNever married (15+)33.7%
HousingMedian home value$558,100
HousingMedian gross rent$1,874
HousingSingle-family detached56.2%
HousingBuilt before 19401.5%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.6%
HousingVacant units4.3%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.6%
HealthWith a disability10.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.3%
CommuteDrove alone65.3%
CommutePublic transit2.5%
CommuteWorked from home20.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$0$295$0$250,000$0
2024$0$0$295$250,000$0
2022$0$0$295$250,000$0
2020$0$0$295$250,000$0
2018$0$0$295$250,000$0
2016$0$1,229$295$250,000$0
2014$0$83$1,524$250,000$0
2012$42$136$1,608$250,000$0
2010$2,439$2,338$1,702$250,000$0
2008$1,238,609$1,237,008$1,601$250,000$672,952

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-03-25PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INC. POLITICAL …24K$1,000
2021-10-26HF SINCLAIR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (DINO PA…24K$2,500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (4)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-03-25PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (PEGPAC)committee_contributed_to_candidate$1,00024Kfec_pas2
2022-03-25PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (PEGPAC)contributed_to$1,000pas2
2021-10-26HF SINCLAIR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (DINO PAC)committee_contributed_to_candidate$2,50024Kfec_pas2
2021-10-26HF SINCLAIR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (DINO PAC)contributed_to$2,500pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofARMSTRONG FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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