POSEY, BILL
R Β· house Β· bioguide P000599
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H8FL15107- Internal id
21df7903-5015-42c3-b8bc-66d8752efcdd- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-08. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 801,628 |
| People | Median age | 49 |
| Income | Median household income | $77,332 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $45,000 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.467 |
| Race | White alone | 73.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 9.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 12.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 34.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.8% |
| Household | Family households | 63.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.40 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $342,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,518 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 11.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $13,285 | $113,501 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $499,476 | $822,282 | $100,217 | $0 | $296,315 |
| 2022 | $1,030,661 | $777,603 | $423,023 | $0 | $697,236 |
| 2020 | $990,773 | $1,127,339 | $169,964 | $0 | $565,628 |
| 2018 | $927,501 | $1,086,762 | $306,530 | $0 | $572,197 |
| 2016 | $896,409 | $772,848 | $465,791 | $0 | $484,413 |
| 2014 | $1,131,538 | $1,042,652 | $342,231 | $0 | $650,610 |
| 2012 | $1,051,652 | $900,122 | $253,346 | $9,739 | $582,343 |
| 2010 | $1,094,181 | $1,027,999 | $101,815 | $0 | $575,136 |
| 2008 | $944,894 | $909,261 | $35,633 | $82,500 | $590,454 |
Elections
- 2008 general house Β· FL-8 β running
- 2008 general house Β· FL-15 β won
- 2010 general house Β· FL-15 β won
- 2010 general house Β· FL-8 β running
- 2012 general house Β· FL-8 β won
- 2014 general house Β· FL-8 β won
- 2016 general house Β· FL-8 β won
- 2018 general house Β· FL-8 β won
- 2020 general house Β· FL-8 β won
- 2022 general house Β· FL-8 β won
- 2024 general house Β· FL-8 β lost_general
Committees
- FRIENDS OF BILL POSEY β principal Β· type H
- HOUSE REPUBLICAN FRESHMEN 2009 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
Recent votes
- 2024-12-20 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 517
YEA on HR 10545 β American Relief Act, 2025 - 2024-12-19 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 516
NAY on HR 10515 β American Relief Act, 2025 - 2024-12-18 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 515
NAY on S 759 β Beagle Brigade Act of 2023 - 2024-12-18 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 514
YEA on HR 8663 β DETECT Fentanyl and Xylazine Act of 2024 - 2024-12-18 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 513
YEA on S 3857 β Jamul Indian Village Land Transfer Act - 2024-12-18 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 512
YEA on S 1351 β Stop Institutional Child Abuse Act - 2024-12-17 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 511
YEA on HR 1101 β Lumbee Fairness Act - 2024-12-17 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 510
YEA on Never Again Education Reauthorization Act - 2024-12-17 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 509
YEA on HR 115 β Midnight Rules Relief Act - 2024-12-17 Β· Cong. 118 Β· house roll 508
NAY on HR 115 β Midnight Rules Relief Act
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
- cosponsor Β· 2024-03-05 β HR 7365 β VETS Safe Travel Act
- cosponsor Β· 2023-07-19 β HR 3238 β Affordable Housing Credit Improvement Act of 2023
- cosponsor Β· 2023-03-22 β HR 1725 β End Zuckerbucks Act
- cosponsor Β· 2023-03-07 β HR 1398 β Protect Americaβs Innovation and Economic Security from CCP Act of 2024
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $76,887 | $0 | 225 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $21 | PAYMENT PROCESSING(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $30 | Phonebank Long Distance(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $42 | Phonebank Payroll Services(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $63 | Caging and Database Services(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $96 | PHONEBANK IT/TECH SUPPORT(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $168 | Leads / Phone Lists(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $339 | PAYMENT PROCESSING(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $489 | Phonebank Long Distance(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $677 | Phonebank Payroll Services(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $1,016 | Caging and Database Services(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $1,543 | PHONEBANK IT/TECH SUPPORT(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $2,710 | Leads / Phone Lists(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $1 | Caging and Database Services(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $1 | Leads / Phone Lists(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $1 | PAYMENT PROCESSING(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $1 | PHONEBANK IT/TECH SUPPORT(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $1 | Phonebank Long Distance(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $1 | Phonebank Payroll Services(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $99 | PAYMENT PROCESSING(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $142 | Phonebank Long Distance(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $197 | Phonebank Payroll Services(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $296 | Caging and Database Services(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $449 | PHONEBANK IT/TECH SUPPORT(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $788 | Leads / Phone Lists(Estimate) |
| β | POLICE ASSISTANCE FOUNDATION PAC | support | $326 | Leads / Phone Lists(Estimate) |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
Outbound (6)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | HOUSE REPUBLICAN FRESHMEN 2009 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF BILL POSEY | β | candidate_committees | |
| 2024-03-05 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 7365 β VETS Safe Travel Act | β | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-07-19 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 3238 β Affordable Housing Credit Improvement Act of 2023 | β | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-03-22 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 1725 β End Zuckerbucks Act | β | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-03-07 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 1398 β Protect Americaβs Innovation and Economic Security from CCP Act of 2024 | β | cosponsor | sponsorship |