MUCARSEL-POWELL, DEBBIE

D · house · bioguide M001207

FEC candidate id: H8FL26039
Internal id: c61fd312-c075-4332-82b1-fbdf4ae19489
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-26. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	804,169
People	Median age	43
Income	Median household income	$71,986
Income	Per-capita income	$35,886
Income	In poverty	14.0%
Income	Unemployed	4.2%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.471
Race	White alone	31.8%
Race	Black alone	5.5%
Race	Asian alone	1.0%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	73.7%
Race	Two or more races	51.1%
Origin	Foreign-born	55.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	25.3%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	70.0%
Education	High school or higher	59.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	30.7%
Education	Advanced degree	11.2%
Household	Family households	73.3%
Household	Avg household size	2.83
Household	Never married (15+)	32.2%
Housing	Median home value	$444,800
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,824
Housing	Single-family detached	40.6%
Housing	Built before 1940	2.4%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	8.3%
Housing	Vacant units	11.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	2.5%
Health	With a disability	11.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	89.9%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.9%
Commute	Drove alone	70.8%
Commute	Public transit	1.8%
Commute	Worked from home	13.3%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$11,809	$22,407	$0	$0	$0
2020	$6,886,952	$6,916,171	$10,598	$0	$5,028,347
2018	$4,655,422	$4,615,605	$39,817	$0	$3,416,116

Elections

2018 general house · FL-26 — won
2020 general house · FL-26 — lost_general

Committees

DEBBIE FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2024	$35,332	$0	5

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2024-10-27	MOMSRISING TOGETHER	support	$18,290	Text Messaging (Estimate)
2024-10-26	MOMSRISING TOGETHER	support	$14,071	Text Messaging (estimate)
2024-10-25	MOMSRISING TOGETHER	support	$1,500	Printing - Yard Signs
2024-10-25	REPRODUCTIVE FREEDOM FOR ALL FREEDOM FUND	support	$1,087	Text Messages (Estimate)
2024-10-24	MOMSRISING TOGETHER	support	$385	Social Media Ad Buy

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-01-25	MCKESSON CORPORATION EMPLOYEES POLITICAL FUND	24K	$-1,000
2022-01-11	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	24K	$-1,000
2021-12-16	SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNIO…	24E	$3,485
2021-10-27	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	24K	$1,000
2021-08-25	HDR, INC. EMPLOYEE OWNERS PAC	24K	$-1,000
2021-05-19	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	24E	$8
2021-04-27	UNITE HERE PAC	24E	$231
2021-04-27	UNITE HERE PAC	24E	$231
2021-04-27	UNITE HERE PAC	24E	$-231
2021-04-27	UNITE HERE PAC	24E	$-231
2021-04-27	UNITE HERE PAC	24E	$-323
2021-04-27	UNITE HERE PAC	24E	$323
2021-03-22	PROGRESSIVE AMERICANS FOR DEMOCRACY	24K	$-1,000
2021-02-03	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS	24F	$187

Connected on the graph

Inbound (19)

date	from	type	amount	source
2024-10-27	MOMSRISING TOGETHER	supports_independently	$18,290	fec_ies
2024-10-26	MOMSRISING TOGETHER	supports_independently	$14,071	fec_ies
2024-10-25	REPRODUCTIVE FREEDOM FOR ALL FREEDOM FUND	supports_independently	$1,087	fec_ies
2024-10-25	MOMSRISING TOGETHER	supports_independently	$1,500	fec_ies
2024-10-24	MOMSRISING TOGETHER	supports_independently	$385	fec_ies
2022-01-25	MCKESSON CORPORATION EMPLOYEES POLITICAL FUND	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-01-11	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2021-12-16	SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION)	contributed_to	$3,485	pas2
2021-10-27	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-08-25	HDR, INC. EMPLOYEE OWNERS PAC	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2021-05-19	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	contributed_to	$8	pas2
2021-04-27	UNITE HERE PAC	contributed_to	$231	pas2
2021-04-27	UNITE HERE PAC	contributed_to	$-231	pas2
2021-04-27	UNITE HERE PAC	contributed_to	$-231	pas2
2021-04-27	UNITE HERE PAC	contributed_to	$-323	pas2
2021-04-27	UNITE HERE PAC	contributed_to	$323	pas2
2021-04-27	UNITE HERE PAC	contributed_to	$231	pas2
2021-03-22	PROGRESSIVE AMERICANS FOR DEMOCRACY	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2021-02-03	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS	contributed_to	$187	pas2

Outbound (4)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 1049 — National Heritage Area Act of 2020	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 2653 — Safe Schools Improvement Act of 2019	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 943 — Never Again Education Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	principal_candidate_of	DEBBIE FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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