ABERNATHY, IAIN
OTHER Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8IL08093- Internal id
3fc7f8b2-a68a-407c-b1a5-bd164a9b451e- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-08. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 746,772 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $99,637 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $46,456 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.417 |
| Race | White alone | 55.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 13.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 25.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 14.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 28.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 58.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 19.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 40.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.8% |
| Household | Family households | 69.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.65 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $326,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,597 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 53.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.7% |
Elections
- 2008 general house Β· IL-8 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.