TSONGAS, NICOLA S
D Β· house Β· bioguide T000465
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- FEC candidate id
H8MA05143- Internal id
b8158d97-9420-48e9-9e17-7c57d66410fa- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MA-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 785,403 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $99,663 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $49,659 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.463 |
| Race | White alone | 62.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 8.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 22.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 13.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 20.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 68.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 17.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 65.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 40.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.1% |
| Household | Family households | 67.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.61 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $494,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,641 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 51.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $0 | $70,342 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2018 | $329,874 | $727,804 | $69,945 | $0 | $179,163 |
| 2016 | $1,213,206 | $1,146,668 | $467,875 | $0 | $781,470 |
| 2014 | $1,227,147 | $958,140 | $401,338 | $0 | $914,462 |
| 2012 | $1,606,982 | $1,477,655 | $132,331 | $1,400 | $1,257,965 |
| 2010 | $1,950,422 | $1,962,912 | $3,004 | $73,873 | $1,555,598 |
| 2008 | $3,302,902 | $3,287,408 | $15,494 | $64,569 | $2,560,627 |
Elections
- 2008 general house Β· MA-5 β won
- 2010 general house Β· MA-5 β lost_general
- 2012 general house Β· MA-3 β won
- 2014 general house Β· MA-3 β won
- 2016 general house Β· MA-3 β won
- 2018 general house Β· MA-3 β lost_general
Committees
- JARED POLIS VICTORY FUND 2012 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- THE NIKI TSONGAS COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-20 | PROGRESSIVE CHOICES PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-20 | PROGRESSIVE CHOICES PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | JARED POLIS VICTORY FUND 2012 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | THE NIKI TSONGAS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |