MCCARTHY, PAUL
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8MA06067- Internal id
92ee2151-d8c1-45e6-a63d-9d9cca58b0f2- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MA-06. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 784,690 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $118,476 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $62,442 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.470 |
| Race | White alone | 77.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 14.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 80.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 71.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 49.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 21.5% |
| Household | Family households | 67.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.52 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $670,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,865 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 57.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 66.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | $0 | $0 | $30 | $0 | $0 |
| 2002 | $1,504 | $2,337 | $30 | $20,445 | $1,504 |
| 2000 | $55,248 | $54,403 | $863 | $19,459 | $50,478 |
| 1998 | $27,587 | $26,919 | $666 | $34,931 | $15,531 |
| 1996 | $4,394 | $4,394 | $0 | $16,763 | $0 |
| 1994 | $8,520 | $8,519 | $0 | $19,356 | $505 |
| 1992 | $497 | $497 | $0 | $22,075 | $210 |
| 1990 | $15,486 | $15,497 | $0 | $22,567 | $11,097 |
| 1988 | $62,747 | $63,013 | $11 | $27,816 | $42,150 |
Elections
- 1988 general house Β· MA-6 β lost_general
- 1998 general house Β· MA-6 β lost_general
- 2000 general house Β· MA-6 β lost_general
Committees
- PAUL MCCARTHY COMMITTEE (1998) β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | PAUL MCCARTHY COMMITTEE (1998) | β | candidate_committees |