KLINE, JOHN PAUL JR
R Β· house Β· bioguide K000363
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- FEC candidate id
H8MN06047- Internal id
536f1411-7cfc-496b-9afe-82a1a63dda68- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MN-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 730,253 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $108,849 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $51,623 |
| Income | In poverty | 5.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.413 |
| Race | White alone | 75.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 43.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.1% |
| Household | Family households | 69.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.60 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $386,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,521 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $745,881 | $668,113 | $193,549 | $0 | $393,114 |
| 2014 | $2,776,558 | $3,226,367 | $115,781 | $0 | $1,527,631 |
| 2012 | $2,352,676 | $1,957,356 | $565,590 | $0 | $1,230,774 |
| 2010 | $1,552,172 | $1,404,779 | $170,270 | $0 | $830,829 |
| 2008 | $1,464,912 | $1,484,969 | $22,877 | $0 | $856,023 |
| 2006 | $1,495,476 | $1,478,471 | $42,933 | $0 | $853,687 |
| 2004 | $1,585,898 | $1,610,060 | $25,929 | $15,950 | $816,158 |
| 2002 | $1,553,133 | $1,535,405 | $50,091 | $89,500 | $698,586 |
| 2000 | $1,236,301 | $1,205,449 | $32,363 | $3,860 | $725,301 |
| 1998 | $284,852 | $283,338 | $1,512 | $10,000 | $208,451 |
Elections
- 1998 general house Β· MN-6 β won
- 2000 general house Β· MN-6 β won
- 2002 general house Β· MN-2 β won
- 2004 general house Β· MN-2 β won
- 2006 general house Β· MN-2 β won
- 2008 general house Β· MN-2 β won
- 2010 general house Β· MN-2 β won
- 2012 general house Β· MN-2 β won
- 2014 general house Β· MN-2 β won
- 2016 general house Β· MN-2 β lost_general
Committees
- GOOD GOVERNMENT COMMITTEE β independent Β· type N
- KLINE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- KLINE FOR CONGRESS β independent Β· type H
- KLINE VICTORY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- PATRIOT 2010 JOINT COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- RALLY FOR LEADERSHIP FUND, THE β joint_fundraising Β· type X
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (6)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | KLINE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | independent_committee_of | COMMITTEE FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | RALLY FOR LEADERSHIP FUND, THE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | KLINE VICTORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | PATRIOT 2010 JOINT COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | KLINE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |