BARNES, KAY
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8MO06068- Internal id
88cf1c5d-d543-4c99-9758-0585fe6268b6- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MO-06. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 775,000 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $73,975 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,484 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.447 |
| Race | White alone | 87.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 95.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.8% |
| Household | Family households | 65.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.52 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $213,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $920 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 76.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $83,398 | $96,524 | $0 | $0 | $1,000 |
| 2008 | $2,814,786 | $2,801,660 | $13,126 | $282,108 | $1,853,047 |
Elections
- 2008 general house Β· MO-6 β lost_general
Committees
- KAY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- MISSOURI WOMEN 2008 β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- NORTHWEST MISSOURI VICTORY β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- WINNING WOMEN 2008 β joint_fundraising Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (4)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | WINNING WOMEN 2008 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | MISSOURI WOMEN 2008 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | NORTHWEST MISSOURI VICTORY | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | KAY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |