LUETKEMEYER, W BLAINE

R · house · bioguide L000569

FEC candidate id: H8MO09153
Internal id: e5f86473-99fc-4aef-9475-4879fbc3139c
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MO-03. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	780,389
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$81,928
Income	Per-capita income	$42,523
Income	In poverty	9.9%
Income	Unemployed	3.4%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.440
Race	White alone	85.5%
Race	Black alone	4.7%
Race	Asian alone	2.2%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	3.6%
Race	Two or more races	6.2%
Origin	Foreign-born	3.5%
Language	Speaks English only at home	95.0%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	1.8%
Education	High school or higher	64.2%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	35.5%
Education	Advanced degree	13.6%
Household	Family households	65.4%
Household	Avg household size	2.45
Household	Never married (15+)	30.2%
Housing	Median home value	$268,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,045
Housing	Single-family detached	71.7%
Housing	Built before 1940	2.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.2%
Housing	Vacant units	10.9%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.1%
Health	With a disability	13.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	91.0%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.3%
Commute	Drove alone	76.2%
Commute	Public transit	0.3%
Commute	Worked from home	12.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$43,185	$60,428	$453,543	$0	$0
2024	$1,393,097	$2,693,424	$470,786	$0	$254,403
2022	$3,640,059	$4,074,349	$1,771,114	$0	$1,174,672
2020	$2,026,938	$2,085,423	$2,205,404	$1,050,000	$426,669
2018	$2,340,679	$1,935,651	$2,263,889	$1,050,000	$576,745
2016	$1,905,574	$1,012,689	$1,858,861	$1,050,000	$539,281
2014	$1,299,435	$801,186	$965,976	$1,050,000	$490,697
2012	$1,483,424	$1,383,737	$467,430	$1,050,000	$352,390
2010	$1,609,842	$1,258,857	$367,743	$1,290,000	$523,734
2008	$2,809,023	$2,803,306	$16,758	$1,560,000	$456,657

Elections

2008 general house · MO-9 — won
2008 general house · MO-3 — running
2010 general house · MO-9 — won
2010 general house · MO-3 — running
2012 general house · MO-3 — won
2014 general house · MO-3 — won
2016 general house · MO-3 — won
2018 general house · MO-3 — won
2020 general house · MO-3 — won
2022 general house · MO-3 — won
2024 general house · MO-3 — lost_general

Committees

BLAINE FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
BLAINE FOR CONGRESS 2008 — principal · type H
FRIENDS OF BLAINE LUETKEMEYER — principal · type H
HOUSE REPUBLICAN COMBINED NOMINEE FUND — joint_fundraising · type H
HOUSE REPUBLICAN FRESHMEN 2009 — joint_fundraising · type N
LUETKEMEYER VICTORY COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type N

Recent votes

2024-12-20 · Cong. 118 · house roll 517
NOT_VOTING on HR 10545 — American Relief Act, 2025
2024-12-19 · Cong. 118 · house roll 516
NOT_VOTING on HR 10515 — American Relief Act, 2025
2024-12-18 · Cong. 118 · house roll 515
YEA on S 759 — Beagle Brigade Act of 2023
2024-12-18 · Cong. 118 · house roll 514
YEA on HR 8663 — DETECT Fentanyl and Xylazine Act of 2024
2024-12-18 · Cong. 118 · house roll 513
NAY on S 3857 — Jamul Indian Village Land Transfer Act
2024-12-18 · Cong. 118 · house roll 512
YEA on S 1351 — Stop Institutional Child Abuse Act
2024-12-17 · Cong. 118 · house roll 511
YEA on HR 1101 — Lumbee Fairness Act
2024-12-17 · Cong. 118 · house roll 510
YEA on Never Again Education Reauthorization Act
2024-12-17 · Cong. 118 · house roll 509
YEA on HR 115 — Midnight Rules Relief Act
2024-12-17 · Cong. 118 · house roll 508
NAY on HR 115 — Midnight Rules Relief Act

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2025-04-15	BLACKROCK FUNDS SERVICES GROUP LLC POLITICAL AC…	24K	$-3,500
2025-03-20	MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION C…	24K	$2,500
2025-03-18	SECURITIES INDUSTRY AND FINANCIAL MARKETS ASSOC…	24K	$-5,000
2025-03-17	JPMORGAN CHASE & CO. FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION C…	24K	$-5,000
2025-03-06	T-MOBILE US, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (…	24K	$-1,000
2025-02-10	U.S. BANCORP POLITICAL PARTICIPATION PROGRAM	24K	$-5,000
2025-01-21	PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITT…	24K	$-2,500
2025-01-10	WELLS FARGO AND COMPANY EMPLOYEE PAC (AKA WELLS…	24K	$-5,000
2022-12-31	AMERICAN OPTOMETRIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTIO…	24K	$-2,000
2022-12-31	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-12-31	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-12-31	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-12-30	NAVIENT CORPORATION PAC (NAVIENT PAC)	24K	$-1,000
2022-12-28	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-28	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-28	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-26	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-25	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-25	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-23	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-20	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-12-20	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-12-20	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-12-19	NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC	24K	$500
2022-12-13	WINRED	24K	$-20

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2025-04-15	BLACKROCK FUNDS SERVICES GROUP LLC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (BLACKROCK PAC)	contributed_to	$-3,500		pas2
2025-03-20	MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (MORPAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2025-03-20	MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (MORPAC)	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2025-03-18	SECURITIES INDUSTRY AND FINANCIAL MARKETS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2025-03-17	JPMORGAN CHASE & CO. FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2025-03-06	T-MOBILE US, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (T-PAC)	contributed_to	$-1,000		pas2
2025-02-10	U.S. BANCORP POLITICAL PARTICIPATION PROGRAM	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2025-01-21	PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE I	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2025-01-10	WELLS FARGO AND COMPANY EMPLOYEE PAC (AKA WELLS FARGO EMPLOYEE PAC)	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-12-31	AMERICAN OPTOMETRIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,000		pas2
2022-12-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-12-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-12-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-12-30	NAVIENT CORPORATION PAC (NAVIENT PAC)	contributed_to	$-1,000		pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5		pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5		pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5		pas2
2022-12-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5		pas2
2022-12-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5		pas2
2022-12-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5		pas2
2022-12-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5		pas2
2022-12-20	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-12-20	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-12-20	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-12-19	NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC	contributed_to	$500		pas2
2022-12-19	NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-12-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20		pas2
2022-12-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20		pas2
2022-12-09	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-12-09	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-12-09	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-35		pas2
2022-12-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-12-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-12-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-12-02	FIRST AMERICAN FINANCIAL CORPORATION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-12-02	FIRST AMERICAN FINANCIAL CORPORATION PAC	contributed_to	$1,500		pas2
2022-12-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-11-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5		pas2
2022-11-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5		pas2
2022-11-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5		pas2
2022-11-28	BULLDOG PAC	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-11-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-11-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-11-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-11-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-11-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20		pas2
2022-11-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-11-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1		pas2
2022-11-15	PRECISION METALFORMING ASSOCIATION VOICE OF THE INDUSTRY COMMITTEE (PMAVIC)	contributed_to	$-1,000		pas2
2022-11-15	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20		pas2
2022-11-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20		pas2
2022-11-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20		pas2
2022-11-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-11-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20		pas2
2022-11-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20		pas2
2022-11-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-11-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-11-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-11-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-11-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20		pas2
2022-11-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-11-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20		pas2
2022-11-09	JPMORGAN CHASE & CO. FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-09	JPMORGAN CHASE & CO. FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-11-08	DUFFY FOR WISCONSIN	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-08	DUFFY FOR WISCONSIN	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2022-11-04	PROTECTIVE LIFE CORPORATION FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE ('PROTECTPAC')	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-04	FMR LLC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE - FEDERAL (FIDELITY PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-11-04	PROTECTIVE LIFE CORPORATION FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE ('PROTECTPAC')	contributed_to	$1,500		pas2
2022-11-04	INVESCO HOLDING COMPANY (US), INC. EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-04	INVESCO HOLDING COMPANY (US), INC. EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-11-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25		pas2
2022-11-04	FMR LLC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE - FEDERAL (FIDELITY PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-03	CONSUMER CREDIT INSURANCE ASSOCIATION DBA CONSUMER CREDIT INDUSTRY ASSOC PAC (CCIA PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$3,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-03	MASSACHUSETTS MUTUAL LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-03	MASSACHUSETTS MUTUAL LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-11-03	BARCLAYS GROUP US INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-03	CONSUMER CREDIT INSURANCE ASSOCIATION DBA CONSUMER CREDIT INDUSTRY ASSOC PAC (CCIA PAC)	contributed_to	$3,000		pas2
2022-11-03	BARCLAYS GROUP US INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-11-02	MASTERCARD INTERNATIONAL INC. EMPLOYEE PAC (MASTERCARD PAC) OR (MASTERCARD EMPLOYEE PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-11-02	ENGINEERS POLITICAL EDUCATION COMMITTEE (EPEC)/INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-11-02	ENGINEERS POLITICAL EDUCATION COMMITTEE (EPEC)/INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-02	AMERICAN COUNCIL OF ENGINEERING COMPANIES (ACEC/PAC)	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2022-11-02	MASTERCARD INTERNATIONAL INC. EMPLOYEE PAC (MASTERCARD PAC) OR (MASTERCARD EMPLOYEE PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-02	AMERICAN COUNCIL OF ENGINEERING COMPANIES (ACEC/PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-01	CALPORTLAND COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (CALPORTLANDPAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-01	INVESTMENT COMPANY INSTITUTE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ICI PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-01	INVESTMENT COMPANY INSTITUTE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ICI PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-11-01	CALPORTLAND COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (CALPORTLANDPAC)	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-10-31	ENGINEERS POLITICAL EDUCATION COMMITTEE (EPEC)/INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-10-27	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25		pas2
2022-10-26	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$600	24F	fec_pas2
2022-10-26	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,909	24F	fec_pas2
2022-10-26	H&R BLOCK INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (BLOCKPAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2
2022-10-26	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS	contributed_to	$600		pas2
2022-10-26	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS	contributed_to	$5,909		pas2
2022-10-26	H&R BLOCK INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (BLOCKPAC)	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2022-10-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10		pas2

Outbound (7)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	HOUSE REPUBLICAN FRESHMEN 2009	—		candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	HOUSE REPUBLICAN COMBINED NOMINEE FUND	—		candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	LUETKEMEYER VICTORY COMMITTEE	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	BLAINE FOR CONGRESS 2008	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	BLAINE FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	FRIENDS OF BLAINE LUETKEMEYER	—		candidate_committees
2023-11-02	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 6175 — NO GOTION Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship

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