WILLIAMS, KATHLEEN

D · house

FEC candidate id: H8MT01232
Internal id: f2839794-b6bc-4a05-803b-12126bd12b73
Status: open seat

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$1,992	$82,324	$80,749	$0	$0
2024	$344	$15,300	$161,082	$0	$0
2022	$183,182	$13,574	$176,038	$0	$0
2020	$6,332,417	$6,362,945	$6,430	$0	$5,818,455
2018	$4,160,972	$4,124,015	$36,957	$1,271	$3,863,400

Elections

No elections on file.

Committees

KATHLEEN WILLIAMS FOR MONTANA — principal · type H
WILLIAMS FOR MONTANA — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2021-10-20	BOLD FUTURE PAC	24E	$2,567
2021-06-11	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	24E	$8
2021-02-03	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS	24F	$710

Connected on the graph

Inbound (3)

date	from	type	amount	source
2021-10-20	BOLD FUTURE PAC	contributed_to	$2,567	pas2
2021-06-11	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	contributed_to	$8	pas2
2021-02-03	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS	contributed_to	$710	pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	KATHLEEN WILLIAMS FOR MONTANA	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	WILLIAMS FOR MONTANA	—		candidate_committees

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