WATSON, JERRY B JR
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8NJ02026- Internal id
75521e9a-cb41-4440-9bf6-dcf44dddccea- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 783,815 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $85,261 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $44,224 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.458 |
| Race | White alone | 65.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 18.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 10.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 81.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 12.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 64.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.1% |
| Household | Family households | 67.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.49 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $318,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,363 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 26.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | $6,500 | $6,500 | $200 | $24,400 | $100 |
| 1996 | $11,920 | $12,148 | $200 | $25,000 | $1,900 |
| 1994 | $7,149 | $7,049 | $428 | $25,000 | $100 |
| 1992 | $19 | $0 | $69 | $22,181 | $0 |
| 1990 | $21,136 | $27,903 | $50 | $22,181 | $152 |
Elections
- 1988 general house Β· NJ-2 β lost_general
- 1990 general house Β· NJ-2 β lost_general
- 1992 general house Β· NJ-2 β lost_general
- 1996 general house Β· NJ-2 β lost_general
- 1998 general house Β· NJ-2 β lost_general
Committees
- JERRY B WATSON JR FOR CONGRESS 1990 β principal Β· type H
- JERRY B WATSON JR FOR CONGRESS 1996 β principal Β· type H
- JERRY B WATSON JR FOR CONGRESS 1998 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JERRY B WATSON JR FOR CONGRESS 1990 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | JERRY B WATSON JR FOR CONGRESS 1996 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | JERRY B WATSON JR FOR CONGRESS 1998 | β | candidate_committees |