HERRELL, STELLA YVETTE

R · house · bioguide H001084

FEC candidate id: H8NM02156
Internal id: 55f8a7b8-0486-4da1-a7d9-94dc1dfbd37b
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NM-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	707,320
People	Median age	37
Income	Median household income	$57,932
Income	Per-capita income	$29,867
Income	In poverty	20.1%
Income	Unemployed	6.2%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.461
Race	White alone	41.9%
Race	Black alone	2.2%
Race	Asian alone	1.2%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	60.5%
Race	Two or more races	32.1%
Origin	Foreign-born	12.2%
Language	Speaks English only at home	61.7%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	33.9%
Education	High school or higher	53.1%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	24.4%
Education	Advanced degree	10.1%
Household	Family households	64.0%
Household	Avg household size	2.67
Household	Never married (15+)	38.5%
Housing	Median home value	$206,900
Housing	Median gross rent	$970
Housing	Single-family detached	65.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.1%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.6%
Housing	Vacant units	13.6%
Service	Veterans (18+)	8.2%
Health	With a disability	17.8%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	87.1%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	9.8%
Commute	Drove alone	75.0%
Commute	Public transit	0.4%
Commute	Worked from home	9.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$5,211	$33,784	$0	$0	$-83
2024	$4,475,628	$4,563,150	$19,584	$0	$3,011,980
2022	$4,431,275	$4,378,713	$107,106	$0	$3,331,925
2020	$2,868,122	$2,984,196	$54,544	$0	$2,317,900
2018	$1,511,999	$1,341,381	$170,618	$0	$1,203,445

Elections

2018 general house · NM-2 — won
2020 general house · NM-2 — won
2022 general house · NM-2 — lost_general
2024 general house · NM-2 — lost_general

Committees

HERRELL FOR NM-02 — principal · type H
YVETTE4CONGRESS — principal · type H

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2024	$731,226	$10,428,507	242
2022	$2,149,582	$5,024,175	317

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	WOMEN FOR AMERICA'S FREEDOM	support	$5,000	Digital Ads
—	SAFER NM COMMUNITIES	support	$11,103	Advertising
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	oppose	$16,000	Digital and Radio Ad Production
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	oppose	$100	ESTIMATE: Staff Time for Press Release
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	oppose	$108	ESTIMATE: Video Production
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	oppose	$16,343	Digital Ad Production
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	support	$13,569	IE- Herrell- Direct Mail Production
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	support	$6,902	IE- HERRELL- DIRECT MAIL PRODUCTION
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	support	$6,002	IE- HERRELL - DIRECT MAIL PRODUCTION
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	support	$14,238	IE- HERRELL- DIRECT MAIL PRODUCTION
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	support	$13,051	IE- HERRELL - DIRECT MAIL PRODUCTION
—	HMP	oppose	$5,325	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$9,955	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$8,410	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$9,210	Digital Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$13,982	Radio Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$20,325	Digital Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$67,331	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$97,176	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$349,299	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$5,500	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$5,200	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$843,991	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$116,357	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$64,800	Television Advertising - Estimate

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	24A	$10,000
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	24A	$181
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	24A	$294
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	24A	$356
2025-08-07	THE COUNCIL OF INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS POLIT…	24K	$-5,000
2025-05-13	GREATER TOMORROW POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$-5,000
2025-04-11	CONSERVATIVE PROMISES PAC	24K	$-2,500
2025-03-11	THE COUNCIL OF INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS POLIT…	24K	$5,000
2022-12-29	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$-799
2022-12-29	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$-623
2022-12-22	BEEF-PAC (BEEF POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF TE…	24K	$-1,000
2022-12-21	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-18	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-12-17	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-12-17	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-12-17	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-12-08	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-12-05	WINRED	24K	$0

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$356	pas2
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$294	pas2
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$181	pas2
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$10,000	pas2
—	WOMEN FOR AMERICA'S FREEDOM	supports_independently	$5,000	fec_ies
—	SAFER NM COMMUNITIES	supports_independently	$11,103	fec_ies
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$100	fec_ies
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$16,343	fec_ies
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$108	fec_ies
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$16,000	fec_ies
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$13,569	fec_ies
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$6,002	fec_ies
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$14,238	fec_ies
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$13,051	fec_ies
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$6,902	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$9,210	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$6,250	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$7,400	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$3,845	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$956,268	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$13,982	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$5,325	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$97,176	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$5,500	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$5,200	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$67,331	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$9,955	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$12,925	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$116,357	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$97,176	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$13,982	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$349,299	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$11,200	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$8,410	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$116,357	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$13,982	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$13,982	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$64,800	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$20,325	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$350,400	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$843,991	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$5,525	fec_ies
—	EDF ACTION VOTES	opposes_independently	$585	fec_ies
—	EDF ACTION VOTES	opposes_independently	$374,080	fec_ies
—	EDF ACTION VOTES	opposes_independently	$24,850	fec_ies
—	EDF ACTION VOTES	opposes_independently	$3,000	fec_ies
—	CHC BOLD PAC	opposes_independently	$28,000	fec_ies
—	BOLD AMERICA	opposes_independently	$360,000	fec_ies
—	BOLD AMERICA	opposes_independently	$12,500	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$8,071	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,800	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$4,036	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,000	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,800	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$6,281	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$46,000	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$3,307	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$3,357	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$2,276	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$12,000	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,699	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,699	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$3,357	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$8,071	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$2,276	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$12,360	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,800	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,000	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$6,530	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,000	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,699	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,800	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$8,660	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$8,071	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$5,000	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$2,276	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$36,500	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$5,581	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$14,900	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$8,071	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$3,357	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$3,545	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$3,307	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$5,176	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$2,276	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$3,875	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$2,594	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$3,307	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,000	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$3,307	fec_ies
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$357	fec_ies
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$20,960	fec_ies
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$294	fec_ies
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$181	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$42,075	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$98,175	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$138,400	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$11,348	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$69,190	fec_ies

Outbound (3)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 1770 — SCHOOL Act of 2021	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	principal_candidate_of	YVETTE4CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	HERRELL FOR NM-02	—		candidate_committees

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