MONTOYA, HARRY B
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8NM03170- Internal id
019b848f-2890-4bdb-92b0-e4b70eeae97e- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NM-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 701,127 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $62,557 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,743 |
| Income | In poverty | 19.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.496 |
| Race | White alone | 45.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 43.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 21.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 65.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 23.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 55.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 28.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.3% |
| Household | Family households | 62.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.53 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $232,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,038 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 64.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 15.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 17.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 82.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 13.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $22,620 | $22,620 | $0 | $0 | $21,506 |
| 2010 | $2,500 | $5,034 | $0 | $0 | $2,500 |
| 2008 | $138,024 | $135,490 | $2,534 | $3,250 | $134,397 |
Elections
- 2008 general house Β· NM-3 β running
- 2012 general house Β· NM-3 β running
- 2020 general house Β· NM-3 β lost_general
Committees
- COMMITTEE TO ELECT HARRY MONTOYA CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- MONTOYA FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMMITTEE TO ELECT HARRY MONTOYA CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | MONTOYA FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |