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MANTON, THOMAS JOSEPH

D Β· house Β· bioguide M000117

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FEC candidate id
H8NY09059
Internal id
5df30174-e5cd-4026-90e7-4aa081dcaef3
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-07. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation753,548
PeopleMedian age34
IncomeMedian household income$88,575
IncomePer-capita income$51,033
IncomeIn poverty18.2%
IncomeUnemployed7.4%
IncomeGini inequality index0.504
RaceWhite alone41.0%
RaceBlack alone11.5%
RaceAsian alone12.3%
RaceHispanic or Latino34.8%
RaceTwo or more races15.8%
OriginForeign-born33.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home46.9%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home27.9%
EducationHigh school or higher66.5%
EducationBachelor's or higher44.6%
EducationAdvanced degree16.4%
HouseholdFamily households51.4%
HouseholdAvg household size2.48
HouseholdNever married (15+)50.1%
HousingMedian home value$859,200
HousingMedian gross rent$2,142
HousingSingle-family detached3.1%
HousingBuilt before 19408.6%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)9.7%
HousingVacant units8.3%
ServiceVeterans (18+)1.3%
HealthWith a disability9.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband89.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet8.0%
CommuteDrove alone14.6%
CommutePublic transit48.6%
CommuteWorked from home20.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2008$272$34,066$0$0$0
2006$-6,696$51,769$32,689$0$0
2004$-9,777$87,434$91,154$0$0
2002$-82,140$91,936$188,365$0$0
2000$64,329$144,956$380,108$0$0
1998$327,731$389,000$459,087$0$49,245
1996$532,649$374,982$520,357$0$191,765
1994$614,706$360,940$362,690$0$193,918
1992$643,780$1,013,635$108,919$0$144,908
1990$620,609$316,301$478,772$0$128,765
1988$424,381$256,832$174,474$0$101,190
1986$415,865$416,151$6,924$834$0
1984$266,867$263,125$3,740$90,911$64,057

Elections

Committees

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Sponsored & cosponsored bills

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (7)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”cosponsor_of_billHR 1143 β€” To authorize a study of nationally significant places in American labor history.β€”cosponsorsponsorship
β€”cosponsor_of_billHR 2141 β€” To establish the Snake River Birds of Prey National Conservation Area in the State of Idahβ€”cosponsorsponsorship
β€”cosponsor_of_billHR 2947 β€” Commemorative Works Actβ€”cosponsorsponsorship
β€”cosponsor_of_billHR 4212 β€” A bill to amend the Joint Resolution of April 27, 1962, to permit the Secretary of the Intβ€”cosponsorsponsorship
β€”cosponsor_of_billHR 921 β€” A bill to require the Secretary of the Interior to conduct a study to determine the approprβ€”cosponsorsponsorship
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofCOMMITTEE FOR PEACE AND JUSTICE IN IRELANDβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofMANTON FOR CONGRESS INCβ€”candidate_committees

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