MCNULTY, MICHAEL R.
D Β· house Β· bioguide M000590
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H8NY23084- Internal id
00df37ab-f4f0-4cca-88f5-a9b5eff37f1f- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-21. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 770,419 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $70,983 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,135 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.441 |
| Race | White alone | 89.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 4.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 26.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.3% |
| Household | Family households | 61.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.27 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $180,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $973 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 20.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $222 | $21,430 | $1,765 | $0 | $0 |
| 2008 | $83,321 | $286,192 | $22,973 | $0 | $18,225 |
| 2006 | $482,269 | $562,756 | $225,844 | $0 | $172,165 |
| 2004 | $315,923 | $442,152 | $306,330 | $0 | $111,947 |
| 2002 | $462,509 | $421,841 | $432,560 | $0 | $166,684 |
| 2000 | $537,609 | $334,030 | $391,891 | $0 | $223,160 |
| 1998 | $356,905 | $243,107 | $188,314 | $0 | $141,923 |
| 1996 | $338,112 | $370,471 | $74,516 | $0 | $134,906 |
| 1994 | $285,700 | $217,642 | $136,631 | $0 | $91,918 |
| 1992 | $220,997 | $252,821 | $68,572 | $0 | $79,396 |
| 1990 | $240,736 | $149,204 | $100,394 | $0 | $85,397 |
| 1988 | $314,940 | $306,072 | $8,866 | $10,356 | $114,908 |
Elections
- 1988 general house Β· NY-23 β won
- 1990 general house Β· NY-23 β won
- 1992 general house Β· NY-21 β won
- 1994 general house Β· NY-21 β won
- 1996 general house Β· NY-21 β won
- 1998 general house Β· NY-21 β won
- 2000 general house Β· NY-21 β won
- 2002 general house Β· NY-21 β won
- 2004 general house Β· NY-21 β won
- 2006 general house Β· NY-21 β won
- 2008 general house Β· NY-21 β lost_general
Committees
- MCNULTY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
- sponsor Β· 1991-02-27 β HR 1143 β To authorize a study of nationally significant places in American labor history.
- sponsor Β· 1989-07-20 β HR 2949 β To authorize a study of nationally significant places in American Labor History.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MCNULTY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| 1991-02-27 | sponsor_of_bill | HR 1143 β To authorize a study of nationally significant places in American labor history. | β | sponsor | sponsorship |
| 1989-07-20 | sponsor_of_bill | HR 2949 β To authorize a study of nationally significant places in American Labor History. | β | sponsor | sponsorship |