WILT, ROBIN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8NY25113- Internal id
2f6e3f72-1e74-4d94-864d-da2a7fd17492- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-25. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 771,484 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $76,853 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $44,534 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.466 |
| Race | White alone | 70.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 13.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 9.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 64.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 41.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 18.8% |
| Household | Family households | 58.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.28 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 38.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $215,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,175 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 62.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 6.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $22,138 | $15,466 | $6,672 | $0 | $10,888 |
| 2022 | $0 | $0 | $1,970 | $0 | $0 |
| 2020 | $162,165 | $160,581 | $1,970 | $0 | $36,999 |
| 2018 | $76,690 | $76,305 | $385 | $10,000 | $32,699 |
Elections
- 2018 general house Β· NY-25 β lost_general
- 2020 general house Β· NY-25 β lost_general
- 2026 general house Β· NY-25 β running
Committees
- ROBIN FOR US β principal Β· type H
- ROCHESTER FOR ROBIN β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ROBIN FOR US | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | ROCHESTER FOR ROBIN | β | candidate_committees |