CRAWFORD, JERRY
OTHER Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8NY28059- Internal id
0ca333b8-db81-4c74-8525-a3a21d58ab2c- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $8,429 | $0 |
| 1998 | $17,286 | $18,374 | $0 | $8,429 | $16,791 |
Elections
- 1998 general house Β· NY-28 β lost_general
Committees
- CRAWFORD FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- LIBERTY TOUR β joint_fundraising Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | LIBERTY TOUR | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | CRAWFORD FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |