O'CONNOR, DANIEL
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8OH12297- Internal id
1e06acc9-c707-4dd8-b101-186ac670c101- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-15. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 794,565 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $78,358 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,090 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.431 |
| Race | White alone | 73.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.3% |
| Household | Family households | 63.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $247,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,272 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $37,677 | $79,713 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2018 | $8,504,868 | $8,462,832 | $42,036 | $0 | $8,050,255 |
Elections
Committees
- O'CONNOR FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-01 | INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, β¦ | 24K | $-5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-01 | INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, RAIL AND TRANSPORTATION WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION LEAGUE | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | O'CONNOR FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |