ALBERTY, PAUL HENRY
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8OH17056- Internal id
b4c2eeb2-325a-4b22-a738-852bba48c597- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | $0 | $976 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2000 | $173,858 | $173,068 | $976 | $24,123 | $141,129 |
| 1998 | $29,457 | $30,532 | $542 | $0 | $24,240 |
Elections
Committees
- ALBERTY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- CITIZENS TO ELECT PAUL H ALBERTY TO CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ALBERTY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | CITIZENS TO ELECT PAUL H ALBERTY TO CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |