DAILEY, FRED LEE
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8OH18088- Internal id
20cb30d1-703c-49e6-936c-e07979b18ac5- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $0 | $270 | $149 | $71,971 | $0 |
| 2016 | $0 | $120 | $419 | $71,971 | $0 |
| 2014 | $0 | $115 | $539 | $71,971 | $0 |
| 2012 | $0 | $120 | $654 | $71,971 | $0 |
| 2010 | $119,749 | $119,083 | $774 | $71,971 | $76,530 |
| 2008 | $395,795 | $395,686 | $108 | $37,700 | $305,811 |
Elections
Committees
- DAILEY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- NE-OH CONGRESSIONAL VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type N
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | NE-OH CONGRESSIONAL VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | DAILEY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |