SPENCER, LUKE
L ยท house
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- FEC candidate id
H8TX18196- Internal id
21bf9d72-0333-47f2-8d49-55c86d1dccb7- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here โ American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-18. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 791,493 |
| People | Median age | 33 |
| Income | Median household income | $63,409 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $36,683 |
| Income | In poverty | 22.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 7.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.526 |
| Race | White alone | 24.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 31.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 44.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 23.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 24.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 56.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 37.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 54.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 28.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.8% |
| Household | Family households | 61.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.67 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 44.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $244,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,320 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 53.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 6.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $990 | $1,069 | $0 | $2,518 | $910 |
| 2018 | $7,507 | $7,419 | $88 | $0 | $2,255 |
Elections
Committees
- LUKE SPENCER CAMPAIGN โ principal ยท type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 ยท model baseline-v1 ยท base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | ฮ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency ร party ร office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| โ | principal_candidate_of | LUKE SPENCER CAMPAIGN | โ | candidate_committees |