ALEXANDER, ARSENIO
OTHER Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8VA01311- Internal id
aba19fe3-bbfe-48de-a8f9-52b0541c75fe
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 804,410 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $104,610 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $53,982 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.443 |
| Race | White alone | 71.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 68.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 47.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 20.0% |
| Household | Family households | 70.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.52 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 26.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $407,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,644 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 74.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 0.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.4% |
Elections
- 2028 general house Β· VA-1 β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.