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BEELER, JEFFREY ALLEN SR.

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H8WA01077
Internal id
5857808d-ebdc-41a6-8c8c-30d921836dda
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WA-01. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation783,828
PeopleMedian age38
IncomeMedian household income$134,799
IncomePer-capita income$71,907
IncomeIn poverty6.3%
IncomeUnemployed4.3%
IncomeGini inequality index0.457
RaceWhite alone59.9%
RaceBlack alone2.6%
RaceAsian alone21.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino10.1%
RaceTwo or more races10.9%
OriginForeign-born26.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home69.2%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home6.2%
EducationHigh school or higher68.8%
EducationBachelor's or higher53.0%
EducationAdvanced degree22.3%
HouseholdFamily households66.9%
HouseholdAvg household size2.55
HouseholdNever married (15+)29.7%
HousingMedian home value$834,300
HousingMedian gross rent$2,308
HousingSingle-family detached58.2%
HousingBuilt before 19401.0%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.5%
HousingVacant units4.5%
ServiceVeterans (18+)5.4%
HealthWith a disability10.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband95.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet2.4%
CommuteDrove alone57.5%
CommutePublic transit3.4%
CommuteWorked from home27.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$0$95$0$0$0
2024$0$736$95$0$0
2022$660$3,869$830$0$575
2020$61,970$62,279$4,040$0$59,226
2018$23,158$18,808$4,349$0$20,905

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2021-06-11PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$8

Connected on the graph

Inbound (2)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2021-06-11PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScommittee_contributed_to_candidate$824Afec_pas2
2021-06-11PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$8pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofBEELER4CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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