RYAN, PAUL D.
R Β· house Β· bioguide R000570
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- FEC candidate id
H8WI01024- Internal id
7ed43775-e297-43f0-99ed-d5ba1f22a26b- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WI-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 733,917 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $79,703 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $42,299 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.428 |
| Race | White alone | 77.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 13.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 88.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.2% |
| Household | Family households | 62.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.38 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $262,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,142 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $12,159,687 | $15,455,163 | $5,803,397 | $0 | $1,515,942 |
| 2016 | $19,852,221 | $13,433,669 | $9,098,873 | $0 | $5,921,544 |
| 2014 | $9,368,582 | $8,051,590 | $2,680,321 | $6,050 | $5,669,512 |
| 2012 | $4,994,668 | $6,651,221 | $1,363,328 | $0 | $3,528,253 |
| 2010 | $3,922,760 | $1,781,673 | $3,019,881 | $0 | $2,597,219 |
| 2008 | $1,988,141 | $2,367,725 | $878,794 | $18,719 | $1,013,089 |
| 2006 | $1,462,681 | $1,316,885 | $1,258,377 | $13,784 | $678,847 |
| 2004 | $1,374,031 | $849,370 | $1,112,582 | $0 | $728,576 |
| 2002 | $1,551,552 | $1,143,014 | $587,880 | $20,990 | $858,082 |
| 2000 | $1,343,419 | $1,059,963 | $305,549 | $5,378 | $784,414 |
| 1998 | $1,267,661 | $1,245,568 | $22,093 | $60,091 | $669,161 |
Elections
- 1998 general house Β· WI-1 β won
- 2000 general house Β· WI-1 β won
- 2002 general house Β· WI-1 β won
- 2004 general house Β· WI-1 β won
- 2006 general house Β· WI-1 β won
- 2008 general house Β· WI-1 β won
- 2010 general house Β· WI-1 β won
- 2012 general house Β· WI-1 β won
- 2014 general house Β· WI-1 β won
- 2016 general house Β· WI-1 β won
- 2018 general house Β· WI-1 β lost_general
Committees
- DRAFT RYAN NOW β independent Β· type U
- NEW CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- RYAN FOR CONGRESS, INC. β principal Β· type Q
- RYAN FOR CONGRESS, INC. β independent Β· type Q
- RYAN GRAVES JFC β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- RYAN PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- TEAM RYAN β joint_fundraising Β· type N
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (7)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | DRAFT RYAN NOW | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | independent_committee_of | RYAN FOR CONGRESS, INC. | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | RYAN GRAVES JFC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | RYAN PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | NEW CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | TEAM RYAN | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | RYAN FOR CONGRESS, INC. | β | candidate_committees |